TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Cermak vs Martin Sobisek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119911112––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 68 set 4, 11-2
68 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 23–36 Martin Sobisek Vladimir Cermak has won 23 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Cermak beat Sobisek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.80 / Sobisek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cermak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189170
Cermak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 145 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it91% 72 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it78% 116 of 149
Sobisek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 127 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back26% 47 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak3wins
AwaySobisek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySobisek70%7 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak0Sobisek10n = 10Sobisek took 10 of 10
S2Cermak4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S3Cermak4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Cermak5Sobisek1n = 6Cermak took 5 of 6
S5Cermak1Sobisek2n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakSobisekC − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match31.437.8−6.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1084 vs 575 / 121950.7%47.2%550 / 1084 vs 575 / 1219Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.80/Sobisek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 10:30V. Cermak45101113113M. Sobisek341271141
LSep 23 · 15:00V. Cermak3971111192M. Sobisek45111175113
WSep 23 · 12:30V. Cermak4381211123M. Sobisek3811107101
WSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak495111012113M. Sobisek43115121052
LSep 9 · 24:30V. Cermak137420M. Sobisek331111113
LSep 8 · 17:29V. Cermak187650M. Sobisek331111113
LSep 8 · 15:30V. Cermak2275100M. Sobisek341111123
LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak36981181M. Sobisek3811115113
LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak145450M. Sobisek331111113
LAug 26 · 22:30V. Cermak3551131152M. Sobisek47118116113
V. Cermak10
LSep 24 · 12:30D. Tuma2.1011116113V. Cermak1.67861181LSep 24 · 11:30V. Cermak1.7341160P. Zmuda2.001113113WSep 24 · 10:30M. Sobisek1.611271141V. Cermak2.20101113113WSep 23 · 17:00V. Cermak1.501111113J. Trefny2.505430LSep 23 · 16:30V. Cermak1.73125981D. Tuma2.00101111113LSep 23 · 15:00V. Cermak2.1071111192M. Sobisek1.67111175113WSep 23 · 14:00J. Trefny1.851420V. Cermak1.851111113LSep 23 · 13:30V. Cermak2.1061111992M. Volf1.65119511113WSep 23 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.8011107101V. Cermak1.9181211123WSep 23 · 11:30V. Cermak1.80911911133D. Tuma1.91116119112
M. Sobisek10
LSep 24 · 12:00P. Zmuda1.8011111113M. Sobisek1.91119891LSep 24 · 11:00D. Tuma1.83111110113M. Sobisek1.83761281LSep 24 · 10:30M. Sobisek1.611271141V. Cermak2.20101113113WSep 24 · 09:30R. Pavelka2.904480M. Sobisek1.351111113LSep 24 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006760WSep 24 · 07:00M. Vedmoch3.00611631M. Sobisek1.3611911113WSep 24 · 06:30M. Sobisek1.401111113R. Pavelka2.756490WSep 23 · 17:30D. Tuma1.788870M. Sobisek1.921111113WSep 23 · 15:00V. Cermak2.1071111192M. Sobisek1.67111175113LSep 23 · 12:30M. Sobisek1.8011107101V. Cermak1.9181211123
Upcoming Matches
V. Cermak
Sep 24 · 22:00V. Cermak1.44M. Vedmoch2.63—Sep 24 · 23:30V. Cermak1.57F. Just2.25—Sep 25 · 01:00V. Cermak2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 25 · 02:30V. Cermak1.73D. Tuma2.00—Sep 25 · 22:00V. Cermak2.38D. Kouble1.53—Sep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.44M. Vedmoch2.63—Sep 26 · 01:00V. Cermak1.67V. Postelt2.10—Sep 26 · 02:30V. Cermak2.10T. Janata1.67—
M. Sobisek
Nothing scheduled
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