TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Cermak vs Marek Chlebecek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111310121141614
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Chlebecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 16-14
Point 100 set 5, 16-14 — our read held Marek Chlebecek at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 5–6 Marek Chlebecek Vladimir Cermak has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chlebecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1530 vs Chlebecek 1532
Chlebecek
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 20% vs Chlebecek 40%
Chlebecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 40% vs Chlebecek 20%
Cermak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -3 · Chlebecek -1
Cermak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlebecek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.83 / Chlebecek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlebecek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201092
Cermak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Chlebecek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak4wins
AwayChlebecek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChlebecek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak42.9%3 of 7
AwayChlebecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak7Chlebecek3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S2Cermak5Chlebecek5n = 10split evenly
S3Cermak4Chlebecek6n = 10Chlebecek took 6 of 10
S4Cermak4Chlebecek3n = 7Cermak took 4 of 7
S5Cermak0Chlebecek3n = 3Chlebecek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakChlebecekCermak − ChlebecekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.337.7+0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1082 vs 113 / 24050.9%47.1%551 / 1082 vs 113 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekCermak 1.83/Chlebecek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 03:30V. Cermak351159101M. Chlebecek4391111123
LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak49101191182M. Chlebecek46129113113
LSep 6 · 20:00V. Cermak50116141272M. Chlebecek579111610113
WAug 23 · 22:30V. Cermak43101111113M. Chlebecek33125971
WJul 20 · 02:30V. Cermak46111113113M. Chlebecek386131181
LJul 11 · 01:30V. Cermak163940M. Chlebecek331111113
LJun 16 · 22:30V. Cermak28113681M. Chlebecek4071111113
WJun 8 · 03:03V. Cermak371111153M. Chlebecek2887130
LJun 7 · 22:30V. Cermak4611116992M. Chlebecek44921111113
WJun 7 · 20:00V. Cermak331111113M. Chlebecek152490
V. Cermak10
LSep 27 · 22:00D. Tuma2.0014117113V. Cermak1.731281161LSep 26 · 03:00V. Cermak2.2512691172D. Kouble1.571011114113LSep 26 · 02:30T. Janata1.671111113V. Cermak2.107360WSep 26 · 01:00V. Postelt2.108690V. Cermak1.671111113LSep 25 · 23:30V. Cermak1.4011961172M. Vedmoch2.75811119113WSep 25 · 22:00V. Cermak2.0011611113D. Kouble1.73811871WSep 25 · 02:58M. Vedmoch2.5036100V. Cermak1.501111123LSep 25 · 02:30D. Tuma2.00111155113V. Cermak1.7386111142LSep 25 · 01:00D. Kouble1.611111153V. Cermak2.2084130WSep 24 · 23:30V. Cermak1.5771111113F. Just2.25117731
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 28 · 00:00M. Chlebecek1.44371311113M. Vedmoch2.63111111162LSep 21 · 03:30P. Pycha1.531311113M. Chlebecek2.1911260WSep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma2.105770M. Chlebecek1.671111113WSep 21 · 01:00M. Vizek2.109129101M. Chlebecek1.67111011123LSep 20 · 23:30M. Chlebecek2.208117101P. Pycha1.6111611123LSep 20 · 22:00M. Chlebecek1.671312411112M. Sobisek2.1011101113133LSep 20 · 08:59M. Regner1.571111113M. Chlebecek2.257680LSep 20 · 08:00M. Nohejl1.831311113M. Chlebecek1.8311560LSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.006780LSep 20 · 06:30M. Chlebecek1.8328110J. Holubec1.831111133
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