TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Vizek vs Karel Schopf 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121178111311115
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 99 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Martin Vizek at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 4–2 Karel Schopf Karel Schopf has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Schopf beat Vizek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:21What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Schopf
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Vizek
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1606 vs Schopf 1646
Schopf
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 40% vs Schopf 60%
Schopf
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 40% vs Schopf 70%
Schopf
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek -3 · Schopf +2
Vizek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vizek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.91 / Schopf 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vizek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206822
Vizek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Schopf1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 47 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVizek4wins
AwaySchopf2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderVizek leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek100%3 of 3
AwaySchopf66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek3Schopf3n = 6split evenly
S2Vizek4Schopf2n = 6Vizek took 4 of 6
S3Vizek3Schopf3n = 6split evenly
S4Vizek2Schopf2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricVizekSchopfV − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.835.8+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 422 vs 233 / 46550.7%50.1%214 / 422 vs 233 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.91/Schopf 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 28 · 18:30M. Vizek228770K. Schopf331111113
LApr 22 · 17:00M. Vizek346111161K. Schopf4211713113
WApr 22 · 15:00M. Vizek44111012113K. Schopf367121071
WApr 4 · 14:00M. Vizek331111113K. Schopf194870
WFeb 5 · 18:30M. Vizek511012117113K. Schopf47121071172
WFeb 5 · 17:00M. Vizek4316115113K. Schopf381461171
M. Vizek10
LSep 29 · 00:30V. Dvorak1.8011113113M. Vizek1.917111191LSep 28 · 23:30M. Regner1.611111133M. Vizek2.2089110LSep 28 · 22:30M. Vizek2.0091181152M. Sychra1.73119117113WSep 28 · 20:58M. Vizek1.8311913113M. Nohejl1.838111161WSep 28 · 20:30M. Nohejl1.837820M. Vizek1.831111113LSep 28 · 19:30M. Vizek1.9177120M. Sychra1.801111143LSep 28 · 18:30K. Schopf2.001111113M. Vizek1.738770WSep 21 · 03:06M. Vizek1.831111113M. Sobisek1.839950WSep 21 · 02:00M. Vizek2.001011511113M. Sobisek1.7312611562LSep 21 · 01:00M. Vizek2.109129101M. Chlebecek1.67111011123
K. Schopf10
LSep 29 · 02:30K. Schopf1.57711371M. Regner2.2511711113WSep 29 · 00:00K. Schopf1.8371111113M. Sychra1.83116691WSep 28 · 23:00V. Dvorak1.679390K. Schopf2.101111113LSep 28 · 21:30M. Sychra1.835111112123K. Schopf1.83115714102LSep 28 · 20:00M. Sychra2.001114113K. Schopf1.7321270WSep 28 · 19:00M. Nohejl2.007670K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 28 · 18:30K. Schopf2.001111113M. Vizek1.738770WSep 28 · 03:30P. Pycha2.4091060K. Schopf1.511112113LSep 28 · 02:00S. Kadavy2.251111113K. Schopf1.578590WSep 28 · 00:30K. Schopf1.402111411113P. Pycha2.7523411742
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