TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Karel Schopf vs Patrik Pycha 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
2123114411117114
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:28 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Schopf above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 21-23
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 107 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Karel Schopf at 63.5%
107 points played in total.
H2H Karel Schopf 7–3 Patrik Pycha Patrik Pycha has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Schopf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Schopf
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schopf 1575 vs Pycha 1691
Pycha
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schopf 80% vs Pycha 100%
Pycha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schopf 50% vs Pycha 90%
Pycha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schopf +4 · Pycha +9
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Schopf) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchopf 1.40 / Pycha 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Schopf)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13200905
Schopf1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Pycha2.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 17 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchopf7wins
AwayPycha3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSchopf leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchopf87.5%7 of 8
AwayPychan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schopf8Pycha2n = 10Schopf took 8 of 10
S2Schopf9Pycha1n = 10Schopf took 9 of 10
S3Schopf6Pycha4n = 10Schopf took 6 of 10
S4Schopf4Pycha3n = 7Schopf took 4 of 7
S5Schopf0Pycha3n = 3Pycha took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchopfPychaS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.032.2+7.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchopfPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 456 vs 485 / 93149.8%52.1%227 / 456 vs 485 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchopfSchopf 1.40/Pycha 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Schopf · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Schopf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 6 · 22:00K. Schopf4111118113P. Pycha33781171
WJan 6 · 20:00K. Schopf331111113P. Pycha164570
WJun 18 · 00:30K. Schopf3811115113P. Pycha26761121
WMay 13 · 11:00K. Schopf341112113P. Pycha2161050
WApr 23 · 11:30K. Schopf3711213113P. Pycha332111191
LApr 14 · 12:00K. Schopf45101111672P. Pycha42125311113
LApr 13 · 21:30K. Schopf48111110792P. Pycha51981211113
WApr 13 · 19:30K. Schopf331111113P. Pycha199370
WApr 12 · 22:30K. Schopf48141112113P. Pycha391291441
LMar 7 · 20:30K. Schopf4371111862P. Pycha42117211113
K. Schopf10
WSep 27 · 23:00K. Schopf1.8311119163M. Pikous1.835711141WSep 27 · 22:00J. Louda1.834111031K. Schopf1.8311712113WSep 27 · 17:00J. Zuzanek1.83311941K. Schopf1.8311711113WSep 27 · 16:30K. Schopf1.8012129113M. Nohejl1.9110101191LSep 27 · 15:00K. Schopf1.5791170M. Sychra2.251113113LSep 27 · 14:00J. Zuzanek1.9111118113K. Schopf1.80481181LSep 8 · 13:29M. Regner2.38991111113K. Schopf1.5311118772LSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551WSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182
P. Pycha10
WSep 27 · 23:30J. Louda1.28911111092P. Pycha3.50118712113WSep 27 · 22:30P. Pycha2.101271115113S. Kadavy1.67141191382WSep 21 · 03:30P. Pycha1.531311113M. Chlebecek2.1911260WSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690WSep 21 · 00:30M. Sobisek2.004850P. Pycha1.731111113WSep 20 · 23:30M. Chlebecek2.208117101P. Pycha1.6111611123WSep 20 · 22:30P. Pycha1.801181110113M. Vizek1.9191151292WSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113WSep 19 · 02:00P. Pycha1.57101111113D. Tuma2.25125911LSep 19 · 01:00P. Pycha2.256950J. Hradecky1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Schopf
Sep 28 · 02:00K. Schopf1.57S. Kadavy2.25—Sep 28 · 18:30K. Schopf2.38M. Vizek1.53—Sep 28 · 19:00K. Schopf1.73M. Nohejl2.00—Sep 28 · 20:00K. Schopf1.73M. Sychra2.00—Sep 28 · 23:00K. Schopf2.10V. Dvorak1.67—Sep 29 · 00:00K. Schopf1.73M. Sychra2.00—Sep 29 · 01:30K. Schopf2.38M. Vizek1.53—Sep 29 · 02:30K. Schopf1.61M. Regner2.20—
P. Pycha
Nothing scheduled
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