TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Louda vs Karel Schopf 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111171012311––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 13–11 Karel Schopf Karel Schopf has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Schopf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Louda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1567 vs Schopf 1536
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 20% vs Schopf 40%
Schopf
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 20% vs Schopf 40%
Schopf
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -2 · Schopf +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Louda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.83 / Schopf 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Louda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13203318
Louda1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Schopf1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda7wins
AwaySchopf3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda66.7%4 of 6
AwaySchopf25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda6Schopf4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Louda8Schopf2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S3Louda5Schopf5n = 10split evenly
S4Louda4Schopf4n = 8split evenly
S5Louda4Schopf3n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaSchopfL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.440.5+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime609 / 1193 vs 225 / 45551.1%49.5%609 / 1193 vs 225 / 455Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.83/Schopf 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schopf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 00:00J. Louda331111113K. Schopf208660
WAug 4 · 07:30J. Louda50118119113K. Schopf4491191142
LJul 22 · 02:00J. Louda47712612102K. Schopf5411101110123
LJun 24 · 21:00J. Louda44111091132K. Schopf44712113113
WJun 24 · 20:30J. Louda4011117113K. Schopf34681191
LJun 7 · 12:30J. Louda4311118672K. Schopf48871111113
WApr 24 · 20:30J. Louda341211113K. Schopf2210660
WOct 26 · 01:30J. Louda541211146113K. Schopf51147121172
WOct 26 · 00:30J. Louda541211146113K. Schopf51147121172
WOct 25 · 17:00J. Louda45411811113K. Schopf3711511462
J. Louda10
LSep 26 · 08:59J. Louda1.5311811942J. Zuzanek2.38411711113LSep 26 · 08:30J. Louda1.807630M. Sopko1.911111113WSep 26 · 07:00J. Louda1.5711131110113J. Zuzanek2.2541561272LSep 26 · 06:00M. Vondrak2.5011135113J. Louda1.506111191LSep 24 · 21:00M. Pikous2.001141110123J. Louda1.73711512102LSep 24 · 20:00J. Louda1.73781171M. Pikous2.0011114113LSep 24 · 19:30S. Kasnik2.201111113J. Louda1.619880LSep 24 · 18:00J. Louda1.80661111112D. Hofman1.91111189133LSep 22 · 09:30J. Louda2.0071111692R. Wagner1.73112911113WSep 22 · 08:30J. Louda1.7311114113S. Kasnik2.00651151
K. Schopf10
WSep 27 · 17:00J. Zuzanek1.83311941K. Schopf1.8311711113WSep 27 · 16:30K. Schopf1.8012129113M. Nohejl1.9110101191LSep 27 · 15:00K. Schopf1.5791170M. Sychra2.251113113LSep 27 · 14:00J. Zuzanek1.9111118113K. Schopf1.80481181LSep 8 · 13:29M. Regner2.38991111113K. Schopf1.5311118772LSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551WSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113LSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142
Upcoming Matches
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K. Schopf
Sep 28 · 00:30K. Schopf1.40P. Pycha2.75—Sep 28 · 02:00K. Schopf1.57S. Kadavy2.25—Sep 28 · 18:30K. Schopf2.38M. Vizek1.53—Sep 28 · 19:00K. Schopf1.80M. Nohejl1.91—Sep 28 · 20:00K. Schopf1.73M. Sychra2.00—Sep 28 · 23:00K. Schopf2.20V. Dvorak1.61—Sep 29 · 00:00K. Schopf1.73M. Sychra2.00—Sep 29 · 01:30K. Schopf2.38M. Vizek1.53—Sep 29 · 02:30K. Schopf1.61M. Regner2.20—
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