TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Louda vs Denis Hofman 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6116111181191113
Denis Hofman
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Denis Hofman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 97 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 51–44 Denis Hofman Denis Hofman has won 44 of their 95 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Louda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-44 in 95
Louda
Wrong
gap of 7 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1637 vs Hofman 1589
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 40% vs Hofman 60%
Hofman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 30% vs Hofman 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Hofman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.80 / Hofman 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Louda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182928
Louda1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 179 of 318
Up 2–0, closes it87% 83 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it72% 134 of 185
Hofman1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 100 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back29% 30 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda5wins
AwayHofman5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda50%4 of 8
AwayHofmann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda8Hofman2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S2Louda3Hofman7n = 10Hofman took 7 of 10
S3Louda5Hofman5n = 10split evenly
S4Louda5Hofman3n = 8Louda took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaHofmanL − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.0+2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaHofmanBasisWin rate · lifetime612 / 1198 vs 454 / 93351.1%48.7%612 / 1198 vs 454 / 933Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.80/Hofman 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hofman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 24:30J. Louda331111113D. Hofman219840
WAug 17 · 03:30J. Louda47111015113D. Hofman418121381
LAug 17 · 01:00J. Louda4511117792D. Hofman47771111113
LJul 31 · 02:00J. Louda4511961182D. Hofman44511116113
WJul 29 · 15:30J. Louda4291111113D. Hofman36117991
LJul 26 · 07:30J. Louda4011101271D. Hofman4141214113
LJul 22 · 24:30J. Louda236980D. Hofman331111113
WJul 16 · 17:30J. Louda4511914113D. Hofman376111281
LJul 16 · 14:00J. Louda32116781D. Hofman4181111113
WJul 1 · 16:30J. Louda4011711113D. Hofman29711471
J. Louda10
LSep 22 · 09:30J. Louda2.0071111692R. Wagner1.73112911113WSep 22 · 08:30J. Louda1.7311114113S. Kasnik2.00651151LSep 22 · 07:00J. Louda2.00109111182R. Wagner1.73121189113WSep 22 · 06:00J. Zuzanek1.838690J. Louda1.831111113LSep 19 · 21:13J. Tazler4.50561211113J. Louda1.17111110892LSep 19 · 20:30J. Louda1.611111561J. Tazler2.2013911113LSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113LSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570WSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 16:30J. Louda1.737740M. Pikous2.001111113
D. Hofman10
WSep 24 · 19:00D. Hofman1.67127113113M. Pikous2.10101191192WSep 23 · 21:00M. Bittner1.91611101172D. Hofman1.80118128113LSep 23 · 20:00S. Kasnik1.911111123D. Hofman1.8048100WSep 23 · 19:00M. Bittner2.00811131132D. Hofman1.73117156113LSep 23 · 18:30D. Hofman1.8052111112M. Pikous1.91111188113WSep 18 · 16:59J. Tazler1.67511131192D. Hofman2.10119155113LSep 18 · 16:30D. Hofman2.00471171J. Tazler1.7311119113LSep 18 · 15:00D. Hofman1.83713138102M. Vondrak1.8311111111123LSep 18 · 14:00V. Vejvoda1.571211113D. Hofman2.2510560WSep 9 · 21:00M. Klement1.8371111792D. Hofman1.83113211113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.