TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Patrik Pycha vs Karel Schopf 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 59 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Karel Schopf at 58.6%
59 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 3–8 Karel Schopf Patrik Pycha has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Schopf beat Pycha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:26What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Schopf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Schopf
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1693 vs Schopf 1578
Pycha
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 80% vs Schopf 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 90% vs Schopf 50%
Pycha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +1 · Schopf -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Schopf) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 2.40 / Schopf 1.51
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Schopf)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13209313
Pycha2.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog33% won 17 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Schopf1.51
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha2wins
AwaySchopf8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSchopf leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePychan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySchopf87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha2Schopf8n = 10Schopf took 8 of 10
S2Pycha1Schopf9n = 10Schopf took 9 of 10
S3Pycha5Schopf5n = 10split evenly
S4Pycha2Schopf5n = 7Schopf took 5 of 7
S5Pycha2Schopf1n = 3Pycha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaSchopfP − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.941.5−8.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 933 vs 228 / 45852.1%49.8%486 / 933 vs 228 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchopfPycha 2.40/Schopf 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Schopf · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schopf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 00:30P. Pycha4923411742K. Schopf582111411113
LJan 6 · 22:00P. Pycha33781171K. Schopf4111118113
LJan 6 · 20:00P. Pycha164570K. Schopf331111113
LJun 18 · 00:30P. Pycha26761121K. Schopf3811115113
LMay 13 · 11:00P. Pycha2161050K. Schopf341112113
LApr 23 · 11:30P. Pycha332111191K. Schopf3711213113
WApr 14 · 12:00P. Pycha42125311113K. Schopf45101111672
WApr 13 · 21:30P. Pycha51981211113K. Schopf48111110792
LApr 13 · 19:30P. Pycha199370K. Schopf331111113
LApr 12 · 22:30P. Pycha391291441K. Schopf48141112113
P. Pycha10
WSep 28 · 01:30P. Pycha2.10111168113M. Pikous1.6776111172LSep 28 · 00:30K. Schopf1.402111411113P. Pycha2.7523411742WSep 27 · 23:30J. Louda1.28911111092P. Pycha3.50118712113WSep 27 · 22:30P. Pycha2.101271115113S. Kadavy1.67141191382WSep 21 · 03:30P. Pycha1.531311113M. Chlebecek2.1911260WSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690WSep 21 · 00:30M. Sobisek2.004850P. Pycha1.731111113WSep 20 · 23:30M. Chlebecek2.208117101P. Pycha1.6111611123WSep 20 · 22:30P. Pycha1.801181110113M. Vizek1.9191151292WSep 19 · 02:59J. Holubec1.7341040P. Pycha2.001112113
K. Schopf10
LSep 28 · 02:00S. Kadavy2.251111113K. Schopf1.578590WSep 28 · 00:30K. Schopf1.402111411113P. Pycha2.7523411742WSep 27 · 23:00K. Schopf1.8311119163M. Pikous1.835711141WSep 27 · 22:00J. Louda1.834111031K. Schopf1.8311712113WSep 27 · 17:00J. Zuzanek1.83311941K. Schopf1.8311711113WSep 27 · 16:30K. Schopf1.8012129113M. Nohejl1.9110101191LSep 27 · 15:00K. Schopf1.5791170M. Sychra2.251113113LSep 27 · 14:00J. Zuzanek1.9111118113K. Schopf1.80481181LSep 8 · 13:29M. Regner2.38991111113K. Schopf1.5311118772LSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551
Upcoming Matches
P. Pycha
Nothing scheduled
K. Schopf
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