TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Krejci vs Karel Schopf 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210116––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:00 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeKarel Schopf to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Karel Schopf @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Karel Schopf at 54.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 2–0 Karel Schopf Karel Schopf has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 01:00What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schopf
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1645 vs Schopf 1576
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 80% vs Schopf 20%
Krejci
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 70% vs Schopf 30%
Krejci
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci +4 · Schopf -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Schopf) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 2.20 / Schopf 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Krejci)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211180
Krejci2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Schopf1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrejci2wins
AwaySchopf0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKrejci leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrejciSchopfK − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.538.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 365 vs 232 / 46752.9%49.7%193 / 365 vs 232 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SchopfKrejci 2.20/Schopf 1.61
Miss
What we said
54.9%
Schopf · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Karel Schopf @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 8 · 02:30R. Krejci559131111113K. Schopf4411155762
WJan 28 · 03:00R. Krejci381116113K. Schopf3291490
R. Krejci10
WSep 30 · 01:00R. Krejci2.201111910113V. Dvorak1.6196111222WSep 30 · 00:00P. Zmuda1.67911831R. Krejci2.1011911113WSep 29 · 22:30D. Tuma1.8341110101R. Krejci1.8311912123WSep 29 · 21:30K. Brozhik1.53512981R. Krejci2.38111011113LSep 29 · 20:30R. Krejci1.9110990K. Brozhik1.801211113WSep 29 · 19:00R. Krejci1.611111113T. Janata2.209960WSep 29 · 18:00J. Pozarsky1.531011871R. Krejci2.3812411113LSep 22 · 03:00A. Hlawatschke1.3671111133R. Krejci3.001159111WSep 22 · 02:00R. Krejci2.001111144113P. Zmuda1.7399161192LSep 22 · 01:00R. Krejci1.917620M. Vedmoch1.801111113
K. Schopf10
LSep 30 · 00:30K. Schopf1.67916121262D. Tuma2.1011141410113LSep 29 · 23:00K. Schopf1.614980P. Zmuda2.201111113LSep 29 · 22:00V. Dvorak1.8391111113K. Schopf1.83117931WSep 29 · 03:30M. Regner2.15431181K. Schopf1.6311117113LSep 29 · 02:30K. Schopf1.57711371M. Regner2.2511711113LSep 29 · 01:30M. Vizek1.911011813113K. Schopf1.80127111152WSep 29 · 00:00K. Schopf1.8371111113M. Sychra1.83116691WSep 28 · 23:00V. Dvorak1.679390K. Schopf2.101111113LSep 28 · 21:30M. Sychra1.835111112123K. Schopf1.83115714102LSep 28 · 20:00M. Sychra2.001114113K. Schopf1.7321270
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