TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Karel Brozhik vs Richard Krejci 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Karel Brozhik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111210911811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeKarel Brozhik to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Brozhik above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Karel Brozhik at 60.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Karel Brozhik 1–0 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Brozhik beat Krejci 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Brozhik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozhik 1626 vs Krejci 1600
Brozhik
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozhik 60% vs Krejci 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozhik 40% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozhik +3 · Krejci -1
Brozhik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Brozhik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozhik 1.53 / Krejci 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Brozhik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13219157
Brozhik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 41 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it70% 30 of 43
Krejci2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrozhik1wins
AwayKrejci0wins
Brozhik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrozhikKrejciB − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.028.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozhikKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 679 vs 189 / 36148.8%52.4%331 / 679 vs 189 / 361Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozhikBrozhik 1.53/Krejci 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Brozhik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 29 · 20:30K. Brozhik341211113R. Krejci2810990
K. Brozhik10
WSep 29 · 20:30R. Krejci1.9110990K. Brozhik1.801211113WSep 29 · 19:30K. Brozhik1.361112812143J. Pozarsky3.008101114122WSep 29 · 18:30T. Janata2.6311116752K. Brozhik1.44481111113LJul 9 · 02:30M. Sopko2.0011118113K. Brozhik1.73161161LJul 9 · 01:00A. Bayer2.201311113K. Brozhik1.6111680WJul 8 · 23:30K. Brozhik1.73115119113V. Cermak2.0081181182LJul 8 · 22:00K. Brozhik1.83107100P. Sebera1.831211123LJul 6 · 03:30M. Sychra1.8012411163K. Brozhik1.9110111141LJul 6 · 02:00M. Sychra1.7311126113K. Brozhik2.007101151LJul 6 · 00:30K. Brozhik1.83911711102P. Sebera1.83119118123
R. Krejci10
LSep 29 · 20:30R. Krejci1.9110990K. Brozhik1.801211113WSep 29 · 19:00R. Krejci1.611111113T. Janata2.209960WSep 29 · 18:00J. Pozarsky1.531011871R. Krejci2.3812411113LSep 22 · 03:00A. Hlawatschke1.3671111133R. Krejci3.001159111WSep 22 · 02:00R. Krejci2.001111144113P. Zmuda1.7399161192LSep 22 · 01:00R. Krejci1.917620M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 22 · 00:00A. Hlawatschke1.3611511133R. Krejci3.007114111WSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma1.73118551R. Krejci2.0061111113WSep 21 · 03:30P. Zmuda1.871181891R. Krejci1.8341120113WSep 21 · 02:30R. Krejci2.251116510113P. Zmuda1.57614111242
Upcoming Matches
K. Brozhik
Nothing scheduled
R. Krejci
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