TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12181969
Played Jul 9Finished
Ales Bayer
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116118––––
Karel Brozhik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAles Bayer above · Karel Brozhik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8
60 points played in total.
H2H Ales Bayer 16–20 Karel Brozhik Ales Bayer has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Brozhik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozhik form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBayer 2.20 / Brozhik 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Brozhik)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12181969
Bayer2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 135 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back20% 34 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Brozhik1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 68 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it70% 50 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBayer3wins
AwayBrozhik7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBrozhik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBayer42.9%3 of 7
AwayBrozhik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bayer7Brozhik3n = 10Bayer took 7 of 10
S2Bayer3Brozhik7n = 10Brozhik took 7 of 10
S3Bayer5Brozhik5n = 10split evenly
S4Bayer3Brozhik5n = 8Brozhik took 5 of 8
S5Bayer1Brozhik4n = 5Brozhik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBayerBrozhikBayer − BrozhikBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.6−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBayerBrozhikBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 945 vs 397 / 81345.6%48.8%431 / 945 vs 397 / 813Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozhikBayer 2.20/Brozhik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Brozhik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 01:30A. Bayer—1111811113K. Brozhik—61311792
WMay 30 · 02:30A. Bayer—1111123K. Brozhik—44100
LMay 15 · 16:30A. Bayer—11812362K. Brozhik—3111011113
LMay 12 · 02:58A. Bayer—10990K. Brozhik—1211113
LMay 11 · 22:30A. Bayer—911111062K. Brozhik—117912113
LMay 8 · 03:28A. Bayer—118551K. Brozhik—91111113
LMay 7 · 23:30A. Bayer—11881172K. Brozhik—911119113
LApr 20 · 02:30A. Bayer—71111922K. Brozhik—118711113
LApr 15 · 01:30A. Bayer—1181481K. Brozhik—71116113
WApr 9 · 03:00A. Bayer—111111123K. Brozhik—8135101
A. Bayer10
LAug 7 · 03:30M. Wagner1.6011119113A. Bayer2.20691151WAug 7 · 02:30A. Bayer1.831411113P. Pycha1.8312590LAug 7 · 01:30M. Wagner1.6114711113A. Bayer2.201211671WAug 7 · 24:00A. Bayer1.611111113M. Sobisek2.209790WAug 6 · 23:00M. Vizek2.50111310742A. Bayer1.509111211113WAug 5 · 08:58A. Bayer1.671111123V. Vejvoda2.1065100WAug 5 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.83113100A. Bayer1.831311123LAug 5 · 07:00M. Klement1.6161111113A. Bayer2.20117491WAug 5 · 06:30A. Bayer2.3811112113P. Sebera1.53951181LAug 4 · 03:30A. Bayer2.3891511892J. Hradecky1.531113611113
K. Brozhik10
LJul 9 · 02:30M. Sopko2.0011118113K. Brozhik1.73161161WJul 8 · 23:30K. Brozhik1.73115119113V. Cermak2.0081181182LJul 8 · 22:00K. Brozhik1.83107100P. Sebera1.831211123LJul 6 · 03:30M. Sychra1.8012411163K. Brozhik1.9110111141LJul 6 · 02:00M. Sychra1.7311126113K. Brozhik2.007101151LJul 6 · 24:30K. Brozhik1.83911711102P. Sebera1.83119118123WJul 5 · 23:00K. Brozhik1.7361111133J. Louda2.001158111WJul 5 · 22:00M. Pikous1.5069100K. Brozhik2.501111123WJun 30 · 03:00K. Brozhik1.67771111113V. Cermak2.1011116482LJun 30 · 02:30P. Sebera1.831112133K. Brozhik1.83610110
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