Zdenek Zikmunda vs Jaroslav Strnad 1964 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Zdenek Zikmunda

Home

2.50

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

811311119611––

Jaroslav Strnad 1964

Away

1.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%

Graded at full time

Jaroslav Strnad 1964 to win

65.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Strnad 1964 @ 1.50 · Won

How it is goingZdenek Zikmunda above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 6-11

Point 70 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 65.3%

70 points played in total.

H2H Zdenek Zikmunda 0–3 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Zdenek Zikmunda has won 0 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 0–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Strnad

Zikmunda 2.50/Strnad 1.50

Hit

What we said

65.3%

Strnad · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Strnad 1964 @ 1.50 · Won

What happened

1–3

Strnad won

The pick

Sealed 05:54

Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Strnad 1964 @ 1.50 · Won

65.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 1.4pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Strnad

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-3 in 3

Strnad

Correct

gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zikmunda 1308 vs Strnad 1438

Strnad

Correct

both rated, 130 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zikmunda 20% vs Strnad 80%

Strnad

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zikmunda 20% vs Strnad 70%

Strnad

Correct

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zikmunda -3 · Strnad -1

Zikmunda

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Strnad) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Strnad: form 80%, the price implies 67%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZikmunda 2.50 / Strnad 1.50

Signal prob.35% / 65%

Edge (Strnad)-1.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeZikmunda0wins

AwayStrnad3wins

Strnad leads 3–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZikmundan = 0, below the 3 needed

AwayStrnad100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zikmunda0Strnad3n = 3Strnad took 3 of 3

S2Zikmunda0Strnad3n = 3Strnad took 3 of 3

S3Zikmunda1Strnad2n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away133%

0–3Straight, away267%

These 3 meetings

MetricZikmundaStrnadZ − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match22.336.0−13.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZikmundaStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime15 / 41 vs 537 / 109436.6%49.1%15 / 41 vs 537 / 1094Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.5per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13279979

Zikmunda2.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 24 days ago (Sep 18) · back after a break

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog32% won 6 of 19

Strnad1.50

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 29) · back after a break

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite60% won 129 of 214

Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70

Up 1–0, closes it78% 95 of 122

Zdenek Zikmunda vs Jaroslav Strnad 1964 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Zdenek Zikmunda vs Jaroslav Strnad 1964 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.