TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Jan Briska 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711119811––
Jan Briska
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Briska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Jan Briska below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Jan Briska at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 6–9 Jan Briska Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 17h before this match
Strnad beat Briska 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Briska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Briska
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1434 vs Briska 1355
Strnad
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 100% vs Briska 0%
Strnad
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 80% vs Briska 40%
Strnad
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +5 · Briska -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Briska) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briska form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.10 / Briska 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strnad)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207253
Strnad2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 91 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Briska1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 6 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad4wins
AwayBriska6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBriska leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad66.7%4 of 6
AwayBriska100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad6Briska4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S2Strnad7Briska3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S3Strnad5Briska5n = 10split evenly
S4Strnad3Briska6n = 9Briska took 6 of 9
S5Strnad1Briska4n = 5Briska took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadBriskaS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.9+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadBriskaBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 1128 vs 167 / 33749.3%49.6%556 / 1128 vs 167 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BriskaStrnad 2.10/Briska 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Briska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Briska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 08:30J. Strnad371313113J. Briska31111190
WMay 1 · 06:30J. Strnad5711131210113J. Briska49611141262
LMar 20 · 23:30J. Strnad4681111972J. Briska44113811113
LNov 21 · 12:30J. Strnad5211101011102J. Briska46412126123
LOct 15 · 09:30J. Strnad4591111862J. Briska47119511113
LOct 15 · 06:30J. Strnad30111991J. Briska3961111113
WOct 9 · 15:30J. Strnad4211136123J. Briska4191111101
LSep 24 · 09:30J. Strnad47101111872J. Briska45123811113
WSep 24 · 06:00J. Strnad4311811133J. Briska409119111
LSep 13 · 21:30J. Strnad361011961J. Briska3712311113
J. Strnad10
WSep 29 · 00:30V. Hruska Sr2.10571111122J. Strnad1.67111187143WSep 28 · 23:30T. Regner1.403111031J. Strnad2.7511612113WSep 28 · 22:30J. Strnad1.911011117113M. Ulrych1.8012951182WSep 28 · 09:28J. Strnad1.50118914113V. Dolezal2.50711111282WSep 28 · 08:30J. Strnad1.911313113J. Briska1.80111190LSep 28 · 07:00J. Strnad1.831110851L. Sulava1.8331211113WSep 28 · 06:00V. Dolezal2.38531141J. Strnad1.5311116113WSep 27 · 09:29L. Sulava1.6791080J. Strnad2.101112113LSep 27 · 08:00J. Strnad1.8375100L. Sulava1.831111123WSep 27 · 07:30P. Berdych2.10116871J. Strnad1.6751111113
J. Briska10
LSep 29 · 02:30J. Briska1.33111110652T. Regner3.25561211113LSep 29 · 00:00J. Briska1.8311711792M. Ulrych1.83911911113LSep 28 · 23:00V. Hruska Sr2.1011118113J. Briska1.67761191LSep 28 · 09:00L. Sulava2.25115119113J. Briska1.5761111192LSep 28 · 08:30J. Strnad1.911313113J. Briska1.80111190LSep 28 · 07:30J. Briska1.83311851V. Dolezal1.8311211113WSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava2.1089111472J. Briska1.671111612113WSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951WSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640
Upcoming Matches
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J. Briska
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