TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1178119111412118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8
102 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 33–24 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 24 of their 57 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Strnad beat Dolezal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.50 / Dolezal 2.50
Czech Liga Pro · #13210244
Strnad1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 137 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 103 of 137
Dolezal2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 35 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad9wins
AwayDolezal1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%7 of 7
AwayDolezal33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad7Dolezal3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S2Strnad8Dolezal2n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S3Strnad7Dolezal3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Strnad6Dolezal0n = 6Strnad took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadDolezalS − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.732.6+6.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 1124 vs 389 / 77549.1%50.2%552 / 1124 vs 389 / 775Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.50/Dolezal 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 06:00J. Strnad3911116113V. Dolezal23531141
WSep 23 · 03:03J. Strnad341211113V. Dolezal2510780
WSep 22 · 23:00J. Strnad4111811113V. Dolezal35711891
LSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad3441131152V. Dolezal46116117113
WSep 21 · 08:30J. Strnad4681111163V. Dolezal361138141
WAug 6 · 22:30J. Strnad341211113V. Dolezal2310580
WJun 30 · 07:30J. Strnad331111113V. Dolezal209830
WJun 22 · 00:00J. Strnad3711113123V. Dolezal359511101
WJun 15 · 01:30J. Strnad56481815113V. Dolezal571111161362
WJun 14 · 02:58J. Strnad331111113V. Dolezal268990
J. Strnad10
WSep 28 · 08:30J. Strnad1.911313113J. Briska1.80111190LSep 28 · 07:00J. Strnad1.831110851L. Sulava1.8331211113WSep 28 · 06:00V. Dolezal2.38531141J. Strnad1.5311116113WSep 27 · 09:29L. Sulava1.6791080J. Strnad2.101112113LSep 27 · 08:00J. Strnad1.8375100L. Sulava1.831111123WSep 27 · 07:30P. Berdych2.10116871J. Strnad1.6751111113WSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad1.8051111113V. Hruska Sr1.91111651WSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad1.85101111113L. Sulava1.85128851LSep 25 · 02:30M. Stefek1.40122199113J. Strnad2.751019111192WSep 25 · 01:00L. Sulava1.8081211992J. Strnad1.911110611113
V. Dolezal10
WSep 28 · 08:00V. Dolezal1.44811118113L. Sulava2.6311851182WSep 28 · 07:30J. Briska1.83311851V. Dolezal1.8311211113LSep 28 · 06:00V. Dolezal2.38531141J. Strnad1.5311116113WSep 27 · 02:59M. Stefek2.75711121182V. Dolezal1.40119146113LSep 27 · 02:00D. Barton1.6111711113V. Dolezal2.20911751WSep 27 · 00:30V. Dolezal1.531011811113M. Stefek2.3812811842LSep 26 · 23:00V. Dolezal2.107370J. Didi1.671111113LSep 26 · 22:00R. Urban1.44111165113V. Dolezal2.6376111162WSep 25 · 09:00V. Dolezal1.361113113J. Pleskot3.0061170LSep 25 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.00991191L. Havel1.7311118113
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