TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Vaclav Hruska Sr 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511111116115––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 61 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 83–80 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 80 of their 163 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:06What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
83-80 in 163
Strnad
Correct
gap of 3 in 163, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1389 vs Sr 1336
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Sr 40%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 50% vs Sr 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Sr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.80 / Sr 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199021
Strnad1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 135 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 103 of 137
Sr1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 75 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad8wins
AwaySr2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad85.7%6 of 7
AwaySr33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad7Sr3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S2Strnad6Sr4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Strnad6Sr4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Strnad5Sr3n = 8Strnad took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSrStrnad − SrBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.034.5+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSrBasisWin rate · lifetime548 / 1118 vs 464 / 99149%46.8%548 / 1118 vs 464 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.80/Sr 1.91
Hit
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad3851111113V. Sr23111651
WSep 24 · 10:30J. Strnad4181111113V. Sr31115871
WSep 19 · 12:30J. Strnad571112129133V. Sr548101411112
WSep 17 · 09:30J. Strnad46114911113V. Sr4261111772
LSep 17 · 08:00J. Strnad30671161V. Sr4111118113
WSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad361114113V. Sr2681260
WSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad351111133V. Sr1935110
WSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad4211119113V. Sr35991161
WSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad4111811113V. Sr31811571
LSep 12 · 19:30J. Strnad341111481V. Sr4381311113
J. Strnad10
WSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad1.85101111113L. Sulava1.85128851LSep 25 · 02:30M. Stefek1.40122199113J. Strnad2.751019111192WSep 25 · 01:00L. Sulava1.8081211992J. Strnad1.911110611113WSep 24 · 23:30J. Strnad3.001111113M. Novak1.368950LSep 24 · 22:00J. Strnad2.639770A. Schneeberger1.441111113LSep 24 · 12:58V. Pecka1.50111111113J. Strnad2.50481381LSep 24 · 12:00V. Pecka1.7311117113J. Strnad2.00751131LSep 24 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.731111113J. Strnad2.003660WSep 24 · 10:30J. Strnad1.8081111113V. Sr1.91115871WSep 23 · 03:03V. Dolezal2.3010780J. Strnad1.551211113
V. Sr10
LSep 27 · 07:00V. Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113LSep 26 · 17:30V. Sr1.70101171292M. Chalupnicek2.021291110113LSep 26 · 16:30A. Schneeberger1.731115133V. Sr2.00713110WSep 26 · 15:30V. Sr1.831111113M. Chalupnicek1.838880WSep 26 · 14:30M. Barta2.25114661V. Sr1.5771111113LSep 24 · 13:29R. Hasmanda1.731113113V. Sr2.0061160WSep 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.5761111792V. Sr2.25117711113WSep 24 · 11:30V. Sr2.2531111123V. Pecka1.571145101LSep 24 · 10:30J. Strnad1.8081111113V. Sr1.91115871WSep 22 · 17:30V. Sr2.061111113Z. Drabek1.605870
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