TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Hruska Sr vs Zbynek Drabek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
2.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 56.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 3–0 Zbynek Drabek Zbynek Drabek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Sr beat Drabek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (56%)
Drabek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sr
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1405 vs Drabek 1294
Sr
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 60% vs Drabek 40%
Sr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 60% vs Drabek 40%
Sr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr -1 · Drabek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 2.06 / Drabek 1.60
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sr)+2.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13179604
Sr2.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 71 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 64
Drabek1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSr3wins
AwayDrabek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSr leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr100%3 of 3
AwayDrabekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr3Drabek0n = 3Sr took 3 of 3
S2Sr2Drabek1n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
S3Sr2Drabek1n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSrDrabekS − DBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.026.3+9.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 981 vs 54 / 10846.9%50%460 / 981 vs 54 / 108Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekSr 2.06/Drabek 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 22 · 17:30V. Sr331111113Z. Drabek205870
WSep 22 · 15:00V. Sr331111113Z. Drabek208570
WSep 22 · 10:30V. Sr42117211113Z. Drabek3961111922
V. Sr10
LSep 22 · 16:30V. Sr2.206840J. Framberk1.611111113WSep 22 · 15:00V. Sr2.101111113Z. Drabek1.678570WSep 22 · 14:00P. Berdych1.73781331V. Sr2.00111111113LSep 22 · 13:30V. Sr2.457141131M. Stefek1.4811169113WSep 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.4451360V. Sr2.631115113WSep 22 · 11:30V. Sr3.25411113113M. Stefek1.3311741162WSep 22 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.7361111922V. Sr2.00117211113LSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr1.801181081P. Berdych1.9151112113LSep 19 · 12:30V. Sr2.208101411112J. Strnad1.611112129133WSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr2.00511711113P. Berdych1.7311711482
Z. Drabek10
WSep 22 · 16:00P. Berdych2.1081111592Z. Drabek1.67115711113LSep 22 · 15:00V. Sr2.101111113Z. Drabek1.678570WSep 22 · 14:30Z. Drabek1.831111123J. Framberk1.8338100LSep 22 · 13:00R. Hasmanda1.501111123Z. Drabek2.5025100LSep 22 · 12:00M. Stefek1.611111113Z. Drabek2.206770LSep 22 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.571111123Z. Drabek2.2537100LSep 22 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.7361111922V. Sr2.00117211113WSep 18 · 13:00Z. Drabek1.787111011113Z. Zikmunda1.9111912942LSep 18 · 12:30P. Kulhanek1.83941111113Z. Drabek1.8311117572WSep 18 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.501111113Z. Zikmunda2.508990
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