TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Stefek vs Vaclav Dolezal 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111191214116811
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11
100 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 19–44 Vaclav Dolezal Martin Stefek has won 19 of their 63 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Dolezal beat Stefek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.75 / Dolezal 1.40
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Dolezal)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13204802
Stefek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 179 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 134
Dolezal1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 131 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek1wins
AwayDolezal9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek33.3%1 of 3
AwayDolezal100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Stefek3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Stefek5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S4Stefek3Dolezal5n = 8Dolezal took 5 of 8
S5Stefek0Dolezal4n = 4Dolezal took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekDolezalS − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.942.8−9.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime609 / 1266 vs 388 / 77548.1%50.1%609 / 1266 vs 388 / 775Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalStefek 2.75/Dolezal 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 00:30M. Stefek4312811842V. Dolezal511011811113
WSep 23 · 00:00M. Stefek3611113113V. Dolezal37891191
LSep 14 · 23:30M. Stefek4166111172V. Dolezal47111177113
LSep 13 · 11:00M. Stefek29911361V. Dolezal3911611113
LSep 13 · 09:07M. Stefek3743111632V. Dolezal561111914113
LSep 13 · 08:30M. Stefek47411118132V. Dolezal47115511153
LSep 12 · 01:00M. Stefek27134371V. Dolezal44111111113
LSep 10 · 13:30M. Stefek186750V. Dolezal331111113
LSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek175930V. Dolezal331111113
LSep 10 · 07:30M. Stefek34791171V. Dolezal4111118113
M. Stefek10
WSep 27 · 01:30M. Stefek2.101612113J. Didi1.67141070LSep 27 · 00:30V. Dolezal1.531011811113M. Stefek2.3812811842WSep 26 · 23:30R. Urban1.402380M. Stefek2.751111113LSep 26 · 22:30M. Stefek2.258620D. Barton1.571111113LSep 26 · 21:09M. Stefek1.837150V. Kosar1.831111113LSep 26 · 20:00J. Didi1.731111119113M. Stefek2.0038131132WSep 26 · 19:00V. Kosar1.73461181M. Stefek2.0011118113LSep 26 · 18:30M. Stefek2.633390M. Fisera1.441111113WSep 25 · 03:30M. Stefek1.771411113M. Novak1.9312960WSep 25 · 02:30M. Stefek1.40122199113J. Strnad2.751019111192
V. Dolezal10
LSep 27 · 02:00D. Barton1.6111711113V. Dolezal2.20911751WSep 27 · 00:30V. Dolezal1.531011811113M. Stefek2.3812811842LSep 26 · 23:00V. Dolezal2.107370J. Didi1.671111113LSep 26 · 22:00R. Urban1.44111165113V. Dolezal2.6376111162WSep 25 · 09:00V. Dolezal1.361113113J. Pleskot3.0061170LSep 25 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.00991191L. Havel1.7311118113WSep 25 · 07:00V. Dolezal1.401111113J. Pleskot2.757990LSep 25 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.80129115113V. Dolezal1.91101161182LSep 23 · 03:03V. Dolezal2.3010780J. Strnad1.551211113WSep 23 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.73111110113R. Bartunek2.00851281
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