TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Stefek vs Vaclav Kosar 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711111511––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 46 set 3, 5-11
46 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 8–7 Vaclav Kosar Vaclav Kosar has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Stefek beat Kosar 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.83 / Kosar 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosar)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13203427
Stefek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kosar1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek5wins
AwayKosar5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek100%4 of 4
AwayKosar83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek4Kosar6n = 10Kosar took 6 of 10
S2Stefek8Kosar2n = 10Stefek took 8 of 10
S3Stefek2Kosar8n = 10Kosar took 8 of 10
S4Stefek6Kosar4n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S5Stefek2Kosar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekKosarS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.441.40.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime607 / 1261 vs 217 / 41648.1%52.2%607 / 1261 vs 217 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarStefek 1.83/Kosar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 19:00M. Stefek4111118113V. Kosar29461181
LSep 17 · 19:30M. Stefek37771491V. Kosar45111112113
LSep 15 · 01:00M. Stefek438116181V. Kosar5111911203
WJul 29 · 19:30M. Stefek42511411113V. Kosar4011711292
WJul 8 · 01:00M. Stefek46111158113V. Kosar4467111192
LJul 3 · 21:00M. Stefek31911741V. Kosar4011711113
WJul 3 · 19:30M. Stefek4412813113V. Kosar4110111191
WJun 30 · 03:30M. Stefek43111110113V. Kosar34581291
LJun 30 · 02:00M. Stefek4671161392V. Kosar491151111113
LMay 18 · 20:00M. Stefek41311611102V. Kosar41112115123
M. Stefek10
LSep 26 · 22:30M. Stefek2.258620D. Barton1.571111113LSep 26 · 20:00J. Didi1.731111119113M. Stefek2.0038131132WSep 26 · 19:00V. Kosar1.73461181M. Stefek2.0011118113LSep 26 · 18:30M. Stefek2.633390M. Fisera1.441111113WSep 25 · 03:30M. Stefek1.771411113M. Novak1.9312960WSep 25 · 02:30M. Stefek1.40122199113J. Strnad2.751019111192LSep 25 · 01:30M. Novak2.00148711113M. Stefek1.73121111982WSep 25 · 00:00M. Stefek1.8011311173L. Sulava1.915118151WSep 24 · 23:00A. Schneeberger1.50111011692M. Stefek2.50712611113LSep 23 · 03:30R. Bartunek1.681113113M. Stefek2.0581150
V. Kosar10
LSep 26 · 20:30V. Kosar2.38171141182M. Fisera1.531581113113LSep 26 · 19:00V. Kosar1.73461181M. Stefek2.0011118113LSep 26 · 18:00J. Didi2.0011611113V. Kosar1.73711881LSep 23 · 20:58V. Kosar1.678690J. Moravek2.101111113WSep 23 · 20:30V. Kosar2.101111113J. Moravek1.672780LSep 23 · 19:00V. Kosar1.919750J. Steffan1.801111113LSep 23 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.61117115133V. Kosar2.20611911112WSep 18 · 21:28V. Kosar1.83119611113L. Sulava1.8341111842WSep 18 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00119119133T. Regner1.73411711112WSep 18 · 19:30L. Sulava1.73661141V. Kosar2.0011119113
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