Vaclav Kosar vs Lubor Sulava 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13156359

Played Sep 18Finished

Vaclav Kosar

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

114911611118114

Lubor Sulava

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Lubor Sulava below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 11-4

Point 86 set 5, 11-4

86 points played in total.

H2H Vaclav Kosar 8–13 Lubor Sulava Vaclav Kosar has won 8 of their 21 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Kosar beat Sulava 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosar)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kosar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKosar 1.83 / Sulava 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Kosar)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13156359

Kosar1.83

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

Sulava1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKosar5wins

AwaySulava5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKosar80%4 of 5

AwaySulava80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kosar5Sulava5n = 10split evenly

S2Kosar3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10

S3Kosar5Sulava5n = 10split evenly

S4Kosar3Sulava3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricKosarSulavaK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.833.8+2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKosarSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 420 vs 477 / 96052.1%49.7%219 / 420 vs 477 / 960Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kosar

Kosar 1.83/Sulava 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Kosar · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Kosar won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 18 · 19:30V. Kosar4211119113L. Sulava27661141

LSep 17 · 20:00V. Kosar38991191L. Sulava4211119113

WSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar46941111113L. Sulava3111113242

WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar361411113L. Sulava2712960

WAug 22 · 03:00V. Kosar521181111113L. Sulava4051113922

LAug 21 · 22:30V. Kosar2671090L. Sulava341112113

LAug 10 · 22:30V. Kosar1743100L. Sulava341111123

WAug 7 · 22:30V. Kosar341112113L. Sulava2371060

LAug 5 · 12:00V. Kosar33791161L. Sulava4011117113

LJul 24 · 14:30V. Kosar34115991L. Sulava4071111113

V. Kosar10

WSep 18 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00119119133T. Regner1.73411711112 WSep 18 · 19:30L. Sulava1.73661141V. Kosar2.0011119113 WSep 18 · 18:00V. Kosar1.44111268113J. Strnad2.63310111182 WSep 17 · 21:30R. Hasmanda2.45911841V. Kosar1.4811811113 LSep 17 · 20:00V. Kosar2.10991191L. Sulava1.6711119113 WSep 17 · 19:30M. Stefek1.83771491V. Kosar1.83111112113 WSep 17 · 18:00V. Kosar1.6111117113R. Hasmanda2.20551191 WSep 15 · 03:30V. Dolezal1.558360V. Kosar2.351111113 WSep 15 · 02:00V. Kosar2.751112113T. Regner1.4021090 WSep 15 · 01:00V. Kosar2.0011911203M. Stefek1.738116181

L. Sulava10

WSep 18 · 20:30J. Strnad2.007570L. Sulava1.731111113 LSep 18 · 19:30L. Sulava1.73661141V. Kosar2.0011119113 WSep 18 · 18:30T. Regner1.8311126872L. Sulava1.839101111113 LSep 17 · 21:00L. Sulava1.807118111M. Stefek1.9111211133 WSep 17 · 20:00V. Kosar2.10991191L. Sulava1.6711119113 LSep 17 · 19:00R. Hasmanda1.3611117113L. Sulava3.00681171 LSep 17 · 18:30L. Sulava1.9111991182M. Stefek1.80711116113 WSep 16 · 17:00L. Sulava2.00111117113J. Pleskot1.7361161162 LSep 16 · 16:00T. Regner1.9111118113L. Sulava1.80481191 WSep 16 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.83351191L. Sulava1.8311119113

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Decision Summary

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