TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Dolezal vs Jan Pleskot 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Jan Pleskot below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 68.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 24–7 Jan Pleskot Jan Pleskot has won 7 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-7 in 31
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 17 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1373 vs Pleskot 1265
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Pleskot 20%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 30% vs Pleskot 50%
Pleskot
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -2 · Pleskot -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pleskot form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.40 / Pleskot 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Dolezal)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189132
Dolezal1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 129 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 98 of 118
Pleskot2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog35% won 71 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal9wins
AwayPleskot1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal100%7 of 7
AwayPleskot33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal7Pleskot3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Dolezal7Pleskot3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Dolezal7Pleskot3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S4Dolezal4Pleskot3n = 7Dolezal took 4 of 7
S5Dolezal4Pleskot1n = 5Dolezal took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalPleskotD − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.039.0+7.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalPleskotBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 777 vs 281 / 61750.1%45.5%389 / 777 vs 281 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.40/Pleskot 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 07:00V. Dolezal331111113J. Pleskot257990
LSep 9 · 09:28V. Dolezal50910111192J. Pleskot45111265113
WSep 9 · 08:30V. Dolezal591117155113J. Pleskot57519131192
WAug 13 · 08:58V. Dolezal371114123J. Pleskot31912100
WAug 13 · 06:00V. Dolezal539111111113J. Pleskot4811813792
WAug 8 · 03:28V. Dolezal4111118113J. Pleskot31671171
WAug 8 · 02:30V. Dolezal361111143J. Pleskot2448120
WJun 18 · 07:30V. Dolezal3951111123J. Pleskot301136101
WJun 15 · 02:30V. Dolezal591191314123J. Pleskot546111116102
WJun 3 · 23:30V. Dolezal53111199133J. Pleskot45661111112
V. Dolezal10
LSep 25 · 06:00T. Nohejl1.80129115113V. Dolezal1.91101161182LSep 23 · 03:03V. Dolezal2.3010780J. Strnad1.551211113WSep 23 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.73111110113R. Bartunek2.00851281WSep 23 · 01:30T. Regner2.3881181172V. Dolezal1.53119118113LSep 23 · 00:00V. Dolezal1.44891191M. Stefek2.6311113113LSep 22 · 23:00J. Strnad1.6111811113V. Dolezal2.20711891WSep 21 · 08:58J. Strnad1.6141131152V. Dolezal2.20116117113LSep 21 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.001138141J. Strnad1.7381111163LSep 21 · 07:00V. Dolezal2.00311100J. Steffan1.731113123LSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl2.10711117113V. Dolezal1.6711691162
J. Pleskot10
LSep 25 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.80115119112L. Havel1.91411911133WSep 24 · 08:58L. Havel1.835119101J. Pleskot1.8311611123LSep 24 · 08:30J. Pleskot1.7311810111L. Havel2.0071112133LSep 24 · 07:00J. Pleskot2.1012812862T. Nohejl1.6710111011113LSep 24 · 06:00L. Sulava1.7861111113J. Pleskot1.92117831LSep 23 · 03:30J. Pleskot2.201181114112J. Pelikan1.60611816133WSep 23 · 01:30J. Pleskot2.501114113P. Bruzek1.5081270WSep 23 · 00:30J. Grohsgott4.331115791J. Pleskot1.2091711113WSep 22 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.73412111142J. Pleskot2.001110813113WSep 22 · 22:30J. Pleskot2.001111113S. Mazanek1.739990
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