TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Lubor Sulava 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111012––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:37 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 55.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 23–25 Lubor Sulava Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sulava
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-25 in 48
Sulava
Correct
gap of 2 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1397 vs Sulava 1369
Strnad
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 80% vs Sulava 60%
Strnad
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 50% vs Sulava 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +3 · Sulava +2
Strnad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.83 / Sulava 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200425
Strnad1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Sulava1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad5wins
AwaySulava5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad75%3 of 4
AwaySulava66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad4Sulava6n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S2Strnad5Sulava5n = 10split evenly
S3Strnad4Sulava6n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S4Strnad7Sulava2n = 9Strnad took 7 of 9
S5Strnad2Sulava3n = 5Sulava took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSulavaStrnad − SulavaBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.6−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 1119 vs 472 / 95549.1%49.4%549 / 1119 vs 472 / 955Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.83/Sulava 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad43101111113L. Sulava33128851
WSep 25 · 01:00J. Strnad491110611113L. Sulava4981211992
LSep 18 · 20:30J. Strnad197570L. Sulava331111113
WAug 24 · 09:28J. Strnad4211911113L. Sulava33511891
LAug 24 · 08:30J. Strnad29146451L. Sulava45121111113
WAug 22 · 00:30J. Strnad44111154133L. Sulava43461111112
LJul 12 · 21:30J. Strnad4579111262L. Sulava521111910113
WJul 12 · 20:30J. Strnad4281112113L. Sulava371191071
LJul 11 · 01:30J. Strnad5091281292L. Sulava5311101110113
LJul 3 · 06:00J. Strnad47711111172L. Sulava48118135113
J. Strnad10
WSep 27 · 07:30P. Berdych2.10116871J. Strnad1.6751111113WSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad1.8051111113V. Sr1.91111651WSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad1.85101111113L. Sulava1.85128851LSep 25 · 02:30M. Stefek1.40122199113J. Strnad2.751019111192WSep 25 · 01:00L. Sulava1.8081211992J. Strnad1.911110611113WSep 24 · 23:30J. Strnad3.001111113M. Novak1.368950LSep 24 · 22:00J. Strnad2.639770A. Schneeberger1.441111113LSep 24 · 12:58V. Pecka1.50111111113J. Strnad2.50481381LSep 24 · 12:00V. Pecka1.7311117113J. Strnad2.00751131LSep 24 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.731111113J. Strnad2.003660
L. Sulava10
WSep 27 · 07:00V. Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113WSep 27 · 06:30L. Sulava1.401612113P. Berdych2.75141080LSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad1.85101111113L. Sulava1.85128851WSep 25 · 02:00L. Sulava2.0011119113A. Schneeberger1.73751131LSep 25 · 01:00L. Sulava1.8081211992J. Strnad1.911110611113LSep 25 · 00:00M. Stefek1.8011311173L. Sulava1.915118151LSep 24 · 22:30M. Novak1.57611611113L. Sulava2.2511811682LSep 24 · 09:30L. Sulava2.0012111151T. Nohejl1.7314136113WSep 24 · 08:00L. Sulava2.2051111113T. Nohejl1.61117571WSep 24 · 07:30L. Havel3.0010780L. Sulava1.361211113
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