TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Hruska Sr vs Jaroslav Strnad 1964 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5117111181171214
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:30 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jaroslav Strnad 1964 @ 1.67 · Won
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 97 set 5, 12-14 · our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 55.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 80–83 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 80 of their 163 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:30What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
80-83 in 163
Strnad
Correct
gap of 3 in 163, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hruska Sr 1356 vs Strnad 1425
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruska Sr 60% vs Strnad 80%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruska Sr 50% vs Strnad 80%
Strnad
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruska Sr +2 · Strnad +4
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Strnad) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruska Sr 2.10 / Strnad 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Strnad)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207016
Hruska Sr2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 76 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 65
Strnad1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 137 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 103 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHruska Sr2wins
AwayStrnad8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruska Sr33.3%1 of 3
AwayStrnad85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruska Sr3Strnad7n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S2Hruska Sr4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Hruska Sr4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Hruska Sr3Strnad5n = 8Strnad took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHruska SrStrnadH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.540.0−5.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHruska SrStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime467 / 995 vs 555 / 112746.9%49.3%467 / 995 vs 555 / 1127Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadHruska Sr 2.10/Strnad 1.67
Hit
What we said
55.8%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Strnad 1964 @ 1.67 · Won
What happened
2–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 06:00V. Hruska Sr23111651J. Strnad3851111113
LSep 24 · 10:30V. Hruska Sr31115871J. Strnad4181111113
LSep 19 · 12:30V. Hruska Sr548101411112J. Strnad571112129133
LSep 17 · 09:30V. Hruska Sr4261111772J. Strnad46114911113
WSep 17 · 08:00V. Hruska Sr4111118113J. Strnad30671161
LSep 16 · 13:30V. Hruska Sr2681260J. Strnad361114113
LSep 16 · 12:30V. Hruska Sr1935110J. Strnad351111133
LSep 14 · 17:30V. Hruska Sr35991161J. Strnad4211119113
LSep 14 · 15:00V. Hruska Sr31811571J. Strnad4111811113
WSep 12 · 19:30V. Hruska Sr4381311113J. Strnad341111481
V. Hruska Sr10
LSep 29 · 02:00M. Ulrych1.331112113V. Hruska Sr3.2551050WSep 28 · 23:00V. Hruska Sr2.1011118113J. Briska1.67761191WSep 28 · 22:00T. Regner1.36361141V. Hruska Sr3.0011118113LSep 27 · 08:59V. Hruska Sr1.736970P. Berdych2.001111113WSep 27 · 08:30V. Hruska Sr1.911311113P. Berdych1.8011190LSep 27 · 07:00V. Hruska Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113LSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad1.8051111113V. Hruska Sr1.91111651LSep 26 · 17:30V. Hruska Sr1.70101171292M. Chalupnicek2.021291110113LSep 26 · 16:30A. Schneeberger1.731115133V. Hruska Sr2.00713110WSep 26 · 15:30V. Hruska Sr1.831111113M. Chalupnicek1.838880
J. Strnad10
LSep 29 · 01:30J. Strnad2.10671181J. Briska1.6711119113WSep 28 · 23:30T. Regner1.403111031J. Strnad2.7511612113WSep 28 · 22:30J. Strnad1.911011117113M. Ulrych1.8012951182WSep 28 · 09:28J. Strnad1.50118914113V. Dolezal2.50711111282WSep 28 · 08:30J. Strnad1.911313113J. Briska1.80111190LSep 28 · 07:00J. Strnad1.831110851L. Sulava1.8331211113WSep 28 · 06:00V. Dolezal2.38531141J. Strnad1.5311116113WSep 27 · 09:29L. Sulava1.6791080J. Strnad2.101112113LSep 27 · 08:00J. Strnad1.8375100L. Sulava1.831111123WSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad1.8051111113V. Hruska Sr1.91111651
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