TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Hruska Sr vs Pavel Berdych 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911711––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 19–17 Pavel Berdych Pavel Berdych has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sr beat Berdych 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.73 / Berdych 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Sr)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13205600
Sr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 90 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it71% 66 of 93
Berdych2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 25 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back25% 11 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayBerdych6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr66.7%2 of 3
AwayBerdych71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S2Sr4Berdych6n = 10Berdych took 6 of 10
S3Sr4Berdych6n = 10Berdych took 6 of 10
S4Sr4Berdych2n = 6Sr took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrBerdychS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.7−1.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 992 vs 215 / 44546.9%48.3%465 / 992 vs 215 / 445Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.73/Berdych 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 08:30V. Sr351311113P. Berdych2111190
WSep 22 · 14:00V. Sr44111111113P. Berdych31781331
LSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr371181081P. Berdych3951112113
WSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr45511711113P. Berdych4111711482
WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr46131111113P. Berdych30155641
LSep 12 · 20:30V. Sr2274110P. Berdych351111133
LAug 9 · 14:30V. Sr30641371P. Berdych44111111113
LJul 21 · 16:00V. Sr227870P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 17:30V. Sr235990P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 16:00V. Sr3654111152P. Berdych50111189113
V. Sr10
WSep 27 · 08:30V. Sr1.911311113P. Berdych1.8011190LSep 27 · 07:00V. Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113LSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad1.8051111113V. Sr1.91111651LSep 26 · 17:30V. Sr1.70101171292M. Chalupnicek2.021291110113LSep 26 · 16:30A. Schneeberger1.731115133V. Sr2.00713110WSep 26 · 15:30V. Sr1.831111113M. Chalupnicek1.838880WSep 26 · 14:30M. Barta2.25114661V. Sr1.5771111113LSep 24 · 13:29R. Hasmanda1.731113113V. Sr2.0061160WSep 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.5761111792V. Sr2.25117711113WSep 24 · 11:30V. Sr2.2531111123V. Pecka1.571145101
P. Berdych10
LSep 27 · 08:30V. Sr1.911311113P. Berdych1.8011190LSep 27 · 07:30P. Berdych2.10116871J. Strnad1.6751111113LSep 27 · 06:30L. Sulava1.401612113P. Berdych2.75141080LSep 26 · 03:30P. Bruzek1.32126115113P. Berdych2.95101151182WSep 26 · 02:00P. Berdych2.10581111113M. Novotny1.6711117782LSep 26 · 01:00P. Berdych2.507650P. Bruzek1.501111113WSep 26 · 00:00J. Pelikan1.4461181192P. Berdych2.63118118113WSep 25 · 22:30A. Schneeberger1.30611591P. Berdych3.4011711113LSep 22 · 17:00P. Berdych1.83671111112J. Framberk1.83111188133LSep 22 · 16:00P. Berdych2.1081111592Z. Drabek1.67115711113
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