TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Hruska Sr vs Pavel Berdych 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311111119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 19–17 Pavel Berdych Pavel Berdych has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:36What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Berdych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-17 in 36
Sr
Correct
gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1347 vs Berdych 1253
Sr
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 20% vs Berdych 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 40% vs Berdych 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr -4 · Berdych -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.91 / Berdych 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sr)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200424
Sr1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 75 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 65
Berdych1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 55 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayBerdych6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr66.7%2 of 3
AwayBerdych71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S2Sr4Berdych6n = 10Berdych took 6 of 10
S3Sr4Berdych6n = 10Berdych took 6 of 10
S4Sr4Berdych2n = 6Sr took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrBerdychS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.7−1.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 992 vs 215 / 44546.9%48.3%465 / 992 vs 215 / 445Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.91/Berdych 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 08:30V. Sr351311113P. Berdych2111190
WSep 22 · 14:00V. Sr44111111113P. Berdych31781331
LSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr371181081P. Berdych3951112113
WSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr45511711113P. Berdych4111711482
WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr46131111113P. Berdych30155641
LSep 12 · 20:30V. Sr2274110P. Berdych351111133
LAug 9 · 14:30V. Sr30641371P. Berdych44111111113
LJul 21 · 16:00V. Sr227870P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 17:30V. Sr235990P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 16:00V. Sr3654111152P. Berdych50111189113
V. Sr10
LSep 27 · 08:59V. Sr1.736970P. Berdych2.001111113LSep 27 · 07:00V. Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113LSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad1.8051111113V. Sr1.91111651LSep 26 · 17:30V. Sr1.70101171292M. Chalupnicek2.021291110113LSep 26 · 16:30A. Schneeberger1.731115133V. Sr2.00713110WSep 26 · 15:30V. Sr1.831111113M. Chalupnicek1.838880WSep 26 · 14:30M. Barta2.25114661V. Sr1.5771111113LSep 24 · 13:29R. Hasmanda1.731113113V. Sr2.0061160WSep 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.5761111792V. Sr2.25117711113WSep 24 · 11:30V. Sr2.2531111123V. Pecka1.571145101
P. Berdych10
WSep 27 · 08:59V. Sr1.736970P. Berdych2.001111113LSep 27 · 07:30P. Berdych2.10116871J. Strnad1.6751111113LSep 27 · 06:30L. Sulava1.401612113P. Berdych2.75141080LSep 26 · 03:30P. Bruzek1.32126115113P. Berdych2.95101151182WSep 26 · 02:00P. Berdych2.10581111113M. Novotny1.6711117782LSep 26 · 01:00P. Berdych2.507650P. Bruzek1.501111113WSep 26 · 00:00J. Pelikan1.4461181192P. Berdych2.63118118113WSep 25 · 22:30A. Schneeberger1.30611591P. Berdych3.4011711113LSep 22 · 17:00P. Berdych1.83671111112J. Framberk1.83111188133LSep 22 · 16:00P. Berdych2.1081111592Z. Drabek1.67115711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.