TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lubor Sulava vs Jan Briska 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116511111911119
Jan Briska
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Briska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Jan Briska below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 85 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Briska at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 15–13 Jan Briska Jan Briska has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Briska beat Sulava 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Briska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-13 in 28
Sulava
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1376 vs Briska 1378
Briska
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 40% vs Briska 60%
Briska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 50% vs Briska 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava -1 · Briska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Briska) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 2.25 / Briska 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Briska)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13210040
Sulava2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 61 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 59
Briska1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 6 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava3wins
AwayBriska7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBriska leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava60%3 of 5
AwayBriska100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava5Briska5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulava4Briska6n = 10Briska took 6 of 10
S3Sulava4Briska6n = 10Briska took 6 of 10
S4Sulava4Briska3n = 7Sulava took 4 of 7
S5Sulava1Briska4n = 5Briska took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaBriskaS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.939.7−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaBriskaBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 954 vs 167 / 33549.5%49.9%472 / 954 vs 167 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BriskaSulava 2.25/Briska 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Briska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 09:00L. Sulava47115119113J. Briska3861111192
LSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava4989111472J. Briska511111612113
LSep 6 · 10:30L. Sulava40111111342J. Briska51971311113
LMay 16 · 09:00L. Sulava321071141J. Briska3912115113
WMay 16 · 07:00L. Sulava4111145113J. Briska365121181
LMay 1 · 08:00L. Sulava215880J. Briska331111113
LApr 6 · 08:00L. Sulava4411671282J. Briska496111110113
LJan 10 · 07:00L. Sulava49111191172J. Briska52139118113
LDec 14 · 02:00L. Sulava238960J. Briska331111113
WNov 17 · 13:00L. Sulava331111113J. Briska153660
L. Sulava10
LSep 28 · 08:00V. Dolezal1.44811118113L. Sulava2.6311851182WSep 28 · 07:00J. Strnad1.831110851L. Sulava1.8331211113LSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava2.1089111472J. Briska1.671111612113LSep 27 · 09:29L. Sulava1.6791080J. Strnad2.101112113WSep 27 · 08:00J. Strnad1.8375100L. Sulava1.831111123WSep 27 · 07:00V. Hruska Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113WSep 27 · 06:30L. Sulava1.401612113P. Berdych2.75141080LSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad1.85101111113L. Sulava1.85128851WSep 25 · 02:00L. Sulava2.0011119113A. Schneeberger1.73751131LSep 25 · 01:00L. Sulava1.8081211992J. Strnad1.911110611113
J. Briska10
LSep 28 · 08:30J. Strnad1.911313113J. Briska1.80111190LSep 28 · 07:30J. Briska1.83311851V. Dolezal1.8311211113WSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava2.1089111472J. Briska1.671111612113WSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951WSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342WAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123LAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362
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