Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Milan Chalupnicek 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Jaroslav Strnad 1964

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

119115117––––

Milan Chalupnicek

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 6

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%

Graded at full time

Jaroslav Strnad 1964 to win

59.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Milan Chalupnicek below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 54 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 59.3%

54 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 17–9 Milan Chalupnicek Milan Chalupnicek has won 9 of their 26 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Strnad

Strnad 1.57/Chalupnicek 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.3%

Strnad · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Strnad won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:28

59.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.4pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Strnad

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

17-9 in 26

Strnad

Correct

gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Strnad 1450 vs Chalupnicek 1372

Strnad

Correct

both rated, 78 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Strnad 80% vs Chalupnicek 100%

Chalupnicek

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Strnad 80% vs Chalupnicek 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Strnad +1 · Chalupnicek +6

Chalupnicek

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Strnad) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chalupnicek: form 100%, the price implies 44%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStrnad 1.571 / Chalupnicek 2.25

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Strnad)-4.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStrnad7wins

AwayChalupnicek3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStrnad100%5 of 5

AwayChalupnicek60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Strnad5Chalupnicek5n = 10split evenly

S2Strnad9Chalupnicek1n = 10Strnad took 9 of 10

S3Strnad4Chalupnicek6n = 10Chalupnicek took 6 of 10

S4Strnad4Chalupnicek2n = 6Strnad took 4 of 6

S5Strnad2Chalupnicek1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricStrnadChalupnicekS − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.9+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStrnadChalupnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1095 vs 326 / 63249.1%51.6%538 / 1095 vs 326 / 632Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280325

Strnad1.57

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite60% won 129 of 214

Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70

Up 1–0, closes it78% 95 of 122

Chalupnicek2.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 6

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog41% won 42 of 103

Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56

Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33

Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Milan Chalupnicek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Milan Chalupnicek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.