TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Patalakha vs Serhii Baranskyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118115118––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched: 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Patalakha to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Patalakha above · Serhii Baranskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Dmytro Patalakha at 67.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Patalakha 1–0 Serhii Baranskyi Serhii Baranskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4267.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.0pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Patalakha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Patalakha 1464 vs Baranskyi 1332
Patalakha
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patalakha 60% vs Baranskyi 0%
Patalakha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patalakha 40% vs Baranskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patalakha -1 · Baranskyi -6
Baranskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Patalakha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baranskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatalakha 1.444 / Baranskyi 2.625
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Patalakha)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276371
Patalakha1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 26 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Baranskyi2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 15 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePatalakha1wins
AwayBaranskyi0wins
Patalakha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPatalakhaBaranskyiP − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatalakhaBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 248 vs 103 / 20346.8%50.7%116 / 248 vs 103 / 203Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PatalakhaPatalakha 1.44/Baranskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Patalakha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Patalakha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 11 · 09:50D. Patalakha4291111113S. Baranskyi32118581
D. Patalakha10
LOct 11 · 08:20D. Patalakha1.80119127112B. Zaika1.915111011133WOct 11 · 06:20D. Patalakha1.44211411113E. Populovskyi2.6311711562LOct 10 · 18:30A. Martyniuk1.401111113D. Patalakha2.758790WOct 10 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.831241441D. Patalakha1.83101116113WOct 10 · 16:00B. Zaika1.67126771D. Patalakha2.10101111113LOct 10 · 14:00E. Populovskyi2.6311126103D. Patalakha1.447101181LOct 10 · 12:00O. Osadchyi1.441211113D. Patalakha2.6310820LSep 27 · 10:48D. Patalakha3.40811111142O. Tymofeev1.30111337113LSep 27 · 09:50O. Tymofeev1.30114115113D. Patalakha3.4091151142WSep 27 · 08:20A. Kurtenko1.67911118102D. Patalakha2.10117911123
S. Baranskyi10
LOct 11 · 07:50S. Solomko1.301111810113S. Baranskyi3.4087111262LOct 11 · 05:50M. Stetsenko1.531111113S. Baranskyi2.387810LOct 4 · 18:00V. Nechai1.671111113S. Baranskyi2.103650LOct 4 · 17:00S. Baranskyi2.2015460S. Skhabitskiy1.611711113LOct 4 · 16:00S. Baranskyi2.0011613752M. Stetsenko1.739111111113LOct 4 · 14:30S. Baranskyi1.7311751162O. Mytsyk2.00411117113WOct 4 · 12:30S. Baranskyi1.22118115113O. Ovsiienko4.0071131172WSep 30 · 18:00O. Mytsyk1.91611581S. Baranskyi1.8011611113LSep 30 · 17:00S. Baranskyi2.2017117101S. Skhabitskiy1.6119811123WSep 30 · 16:00S. Baranskyi1.5091111113O. Ovsiienko2.50113771
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