TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Nechai vs Serhii Baranskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Volodymyr Nechai
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113116115––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:40 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Baranskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Nechai above · Serhii Baranskyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 47 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Serhii Baranskyi at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:4054.0%Our read47.6%to break even at 2.10
clears by 6.4pp47.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.10 they are the same number)
What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Nechai
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nechai 1470 vs Baranskyi 1366
Nechai
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nechai 100% vs Baranskyi 40%
Nechai
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nechai 80% vs Baranskyi 30%
Nechai
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nechai +6 · Baranskyi -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Baranskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nechai form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNechai 1.666 / Baranskyi 2.10
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Baranskyi)+6.4pp
Setka Cup · #13239965
Nechai1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Baranskyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 15 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNechaiBaranskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 14 vs 103 / 19964.3%51.8%9 / 14 vs 103 / 199Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.435.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BaranskyiNechai 1.67/Baranskyi 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Baranskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nechai won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Nechai10
WOct 4 · 16:30V. Nechai2.0011711113O. Mytsyk1.73411981WOct 4 · 15:00V. Nechai1.731141112113S. Skhabitskiy2.0081141462WOct 4 · 13:30V. Nechai2.2511911113O. Ovsiienko1.57811981WOct 4 · 12:00V. Nechai2.10119115113M. Stetsenko1.6721181192WSep 27 · 12:05V. Nechai2.0081411113S. Semenets1.731112831WSep 27 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.9111116772V. Nechai1.80681111113LSep 27 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.731312711123V. Nechai2.001114115102WSep 27 · 07:05V. Nechai1.831110911113M. Khalenko1.8381211992WSep 27 · 06:05S. Kovalenko1.91811731V. Nechai1.8011711113LSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113
S. Baranskyi10
LOct 4 · 17:00S. Baranskyi2.2015460S. Skhabitskiy1.611711113LOct 4 · 16:00S. Baranskyi2.0011613752M. Stetsenko1.739111111113LOct 4 · 14:30S. Baranskyi1.7311751162O. Mytsyk2.00411117113WOct 4 · 12:30S. Baranskyi1.22118115113O. Ovsiienko4.0071131172WSep 30 · 18:00O. Mytsyk1.91611581S. Baranskyi1.8011611113LSep 30 · 17:00S. Baranskyi2.2017117101S. Skhabitskiy1.6119811123WSep 30 · 16:00S. Baranskyi1.5091111113O. Ovsiienko2.50113771LSep 30 · 14:30S. Baranskyi2.20115671V. Smyk1.6141111113LSep 30 · 12:30S. Baranskyi1.5311731142M. Stetsenko2.38911115113LSep 19 · 18:30O. Lipeiko1.7311811123S. Baranskyi2.006119101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.