Volodymyr Nechai vs Maksym Stetsenko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 4Finished

Volodymyr Nechai

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

112911118511119

Maksym Stetsenko

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Maksym Stetsenko to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingVolodymyr Nechai above · Maksym Stetsenko below

Set 1 · 11-2

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 88 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 55.8%

88 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:58

55.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 4.2pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Stetsenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Nechai 1348 vs Stetsenko 1462

Stetsenko

Wrong

both rated, 113 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Nechai 80% vs Stetsenko 60%

Nechai

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Nechai 50% vs Stetsenko 80%

Stetsenko

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Nechai +2 · Stetsenko -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Stetsenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Nechai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNechai 2.10 / Stetsenko 1.666

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Stetsenko)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13240534

Nechai2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Stetsenko1.67

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 01)

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite67% won 116 of 174

Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71

Up 1–0, closes it89% 90 of 101

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNechaiStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 455 / 86850%52.4%5 / 10 vs 455 / 868Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stetsenko

Nechai 2.10/Stetsenko 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Stetsenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Nechai won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Nechai10