TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Nechai vs Serhii Semenets 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Volodymyr Nechai
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111412118113––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Semenets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Nechai above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 78 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Serhii Semenets at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Semenets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nechai 1313 vs Semenets 1266
Nechai
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nechai 60% vs Semenets 20%
Nechai
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nechai 50% vs Semenets 30%
Nechai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nechai +1 · Semenets -4
Semenets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semenets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNechai 2.00 / Semenets 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Semenets)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13202763
Nechai2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Semenets1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 98 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 74 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNechaiSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 9 vs 423 / 84244.4%50.2%4 / 9 vs 423 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemenetsNechai 2.00/Semenets 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Semenets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nechai won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Nechai10
WSep 27 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.9111116772V. Nechai1.80681111113LSep 27 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.731312711123V. Nechai2.001114115102WSep 27 · 07:05V. Nechai1.831110911113M. Khalenko1.8381211992WSep 27 · 06:05S. Kovalenko1.91811731V. Nechai1.8011711113LSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113LSep 20 · 16:29V. Nechai1.91611111062V. Smyk1.80112912113WSep 20 · 14:59V. Nechai1.83101111113D. Ponomarenko1.83126981LSep 20 · 13:32V. Nechai1.57112771O. Lipeiko2.2591111113LSep 20 · 12:00V. Nechai2.0051070O. Ovsiienko1.731112113WFeb 5 · 10:20D. Khairov—41111792V. Nechai—118911113
S. Semenets10
LSep 27 · 10:35S. Semenets2.0055100M. Khalenko1.731111123LSep 27 · 08:35S. Kovalenko1.73111142113S. Semenets2.0029111152LSep 27 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.50116118113S. Semenets2.5051151142LSep 27 · 05:35V. Stukalov2.001111113S. Semenets1.739870WSep 24 · 11:30S. Semenets2.201411113M. Khalenko1.6112980WSep 24 · 09:30O. Miklukha2.50118111072S. Semenets1.50911712113LSep 24 · 07:30V. Mukhin1.5311811113S. Semenets2.38511971WSep 24 · 06:30S. Semenets2.251511113V. Korniichuk1.5713970LSep 24 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.00111310113S. Semenets1.738111291LSep 23 · 12:05S. Semenets2.1071040M. Khalenko1.671112113
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