TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Nechai vs Sergii Skhabitskiy 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Volodymyr Nechai
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1184111141214116
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Nechai above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Nechai 0–1 Sergii Skhabitskiy Volodymyr Nechai has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:4954.0%Our read50.0%to break even at 2.00
clears by 4.0pp50.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.00 they are the same number)
What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nechai
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nechai 1425 vs Skhabitskiy 1297
Nechai
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nechai 80% vs Skhabitskiy 60%
Nechai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nechai 70% vs Skhabitskiy 40%
Nechai
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nechai +4 · Skhabitskiy +1
Nechai
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Skhabitskiy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nechai form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNechai 1.727 / Skhabitskiy 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13239948
Nechai1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Skhabitskiy2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 94 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNechai0wins
AwaySkhabitskiy1wins
Skhabitskiy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNechaiSkhabitskiyN − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.043.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNechaiSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 12 vs 474 / 108358.3%43.8%7 / 12 vs 474 / 1083Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyNechai 1.73/Skhabitskiy 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nechai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai32741291S. Skhabitskiy43111110113
V. Nechai10
WOct 4 · 13:30V. Nechai2.2511911113O. Ovsiienko1.57811981WOct 4 · 12:00V. Nechai2.10119115113M. Stetsenko1.6721181192WSep 27 · 12:05V. Nechai2.0081411113S. Semenets1.731112831WSep 27 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.9111116772V. Nechai1.80681111113LSep 27 · 08:05V. Mukhin1.731312711123V. Nechai2.001114115102WSep 27 · 07:05V. Nechai1.831110911113M. Khalenko1.8381211992WSep 27 · 06:05S. Kovalenko1.91811731V. Nechai1.8011711113LSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113LSep 20 · 16:29V. Nechai1.91611111062V. Smyk1.80112912113WSep 20 · 14:59V. Nechai1.83101111113D. Ponomarenko1.83126981
S. Skhabitskiy10
WOct 4 · 14:00S. Skhabitskiy2.38611811113M. Stetsenko1.5311811582LOct 4 · 13:00O. Mytsyk1.6181111113S. Skhabitskiy2.20118931WOct 2 · 11:35S. Skhabitskiy2.00811711113M. Khalenko1.7311811382LOct 2 · 09:35V. Mukhin4.331111113S. Skhabitskiy1.208680WOct 2 · 08:35S. Skhabitskiy1.831811113P. Ostrovskyi1.8316380LOct 2 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.6351111113S. Skhabitskiy1.44118991WOct 2 · 06:05S. Skhabitskiy1.401611113S. Semenets2.7514360LOct 1 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy2.255380V. Melnykov1.571111113LOct 1 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy1.531141591D. Ponomarenko2.3881117113WSep 20 · 18:00V. Nechai2.00741291S. Skhabitskiy1.73111110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.