TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Patalakha vs Oleksandr Tymofeev 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111113113117411
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDmytro Patalakha above · Oleksandr Tymofeev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 90 set 5, 4-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Patalakha 1–15 Oleksandr Tymofeev Dmytro Patalakha has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Tymofeev beat Patalakha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Tymofeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patalakha form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatalakha 3.40 / Tymofeev 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Tymofeev)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13205922
Patalakha3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 18 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Tymofeev1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite72% won 88 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 64 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatalakha1wins
AwayTymofeev9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTymofeev leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatalakha33.3%1 of 3
AwayTymofeev100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patalakha3Tymofeev7n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S2Patalakha3Tymofeev7n = 10Tymofeev took 7 of 10
S3Patalakha1Tymofeev7n = 8Tymofeev took 7 of 8
S4Patalakha1Tymofeev4n = 5Tymofeev took 4 of 5
S5Patalakha1Tymofeev2n = 3Tymofeev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatalakhaTymofeevP − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.439.1−6.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatalakhaTymofeevBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 249 vs 281 / 52747.8%53.3%119 / 249 vs 281 / 527Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TymofeevPatalakha 3.40/Tymofeev 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Tymofeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tymofeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 27 · 09:50D. Patalakha4091151142O. Tymofeev42114115113
LSep 26 · 14:00D. Patalakha2171040O. Tymofeev341112113
WSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha47111149123O. Tymofeev42191111102
LAug 2 · 09:00D. Patalakha4561411682O. Tymofeev521112711113
LJul 26 · 08:50D. Patalakha34119951O. Tymofeev3851111113
LJul 12 · 06:50D. Patalakha165470O. Tymofeev331111113
LApr 4 · 16:50D. Patalakha32116691O. Tymofeev3741111113
LFeb 8 · 11:20D. Patalakha2411760O. Tymofeev351311113
D. Patalakha10
LSep 27 · 09:50O. Tymofeev1.30114115113D. Patalakha3.4091151142WSep 27 · 08:20A. Kurtenko1.67911118102D. Patalakha2.10117911123LSep 27 · 06:50O. Osadchyi1.40811911113D. Patalakha2.7511511662WSep 27 · 05:50S. Solomko1.918780D. Patalakha1.801111113LSep 26 · 18:30O. Osadchyi1.36814118113D. Patalakha3.00111291162WSep 26 · 17:30S. Solomko1.801112351D. Patalakha1.9171411113LSep 26 · 16:00B. Zaika1.919111193D. Patalakha1.80119731LSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.301112113D. Patalakha3.4071040WSep 26 · 12:00A. Kurtenko1.57101181292D. Patalakha2.251241110103WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 27 · 09:50O. Tymofeev1.30114115113D. Patalakha3.4091151142LSep 27 · 08:50S. Solomko2.751111183O. Tymofeev1.4044160WSep 27 · 07:50O. Osadchyi1.9171111992O. Tymofeev1.80117511113WSep 27 · 06:20A. Kurtenko2.6312119121O. Tymofeev1.4414511143WSep 26 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.441112113S. Solomko2.6381050WSep 26 · 17:00B. Zaika2.63610100O. Tymofeev1.441112123LSep 26 · 15:00A. Kurtenko2.63129111153O. Tymofeev1.4414119822WSep 26 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.301112113D. Patalakha3.4071040WSep 26 · 13:00O. Osadchyi1.837117101O. Tymofeev1.8311911123WSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.