TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
David Heczko vs Marek Bereiter 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8118111416––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:05 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMarek Bereiter to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Heczko above · Marek Bereiter below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Point 68 set 3, 14-16 · our read held Marek Bereiter at 64.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H David Heczko 1–2 Marek Bereiter David Heczko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0564.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bereiter
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heczko 1563 vs Bereiter 1632
Bereiter
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heczko 40% vs Bereiter 60%
Bereiter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heczko 40% vs Bereiter 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Heczko +1 · Bereiter +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Bereiter) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeczko 2.625 / Bereiter 1.444
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Bereiter)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269282
Heczko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 43 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Bereiter1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 17 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHeczko1wins
AwayBereiter2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBereiter leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heczko1Bereiter2n = 3Bereiter took 2 of 3
S2Heczko1Bereiter2n = 3Bereiter took 2 of 3
S3Heczko2Bereiter1n = 3Heczko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHeczkoBereiterH − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.341.3−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeczkoBereiterBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 488 vs 39 / 7354.1%53.4%264 / 488 vs 39 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BereiterHeczko 2.63/Bereiter 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Bereiter · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bereiter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 5 · 12:00D. Heczko531211118112M. Bereiter54148811133
LAug 2 · 06:30D. Heczko164660M. Bereiter331111113
WJun 13 · 07:00D. Heczko43111011113M. Bereiter37812891
D. Heczko10
WOct 10 · 14:30E. Rychlik1.53811612112D. Heczko2.381171110133LOct 4 · 09:06E. Rychlik1.601111711113D. Heczko2.2051311682LOct 4 · 08:00D. Langer1.361311113D. Heczko3.0011970WOct 4 · 07:00R. Skacelik1.807121191D. Heczko1.9111147113LOct 4 · 06:30D. Heczko2.001391061E. Rychlik1.73111112113LOct 1 · 13:00V. Adamczyk1.67671111113D. Heczko2.1011119552LOct 1 · 12:00T. Petrek1.5351113113D. Heczko2.381141191LOct 1 · 11:00L. Martinak2.101111133D. Heczko1.6716110WOct 1 · 10:30D. Heczko2.20981711113V. Adamczyk1.61111115892WOct 1 · 08:59J. Mikula2.50611481D. Heczko1.5011611113
M. Bereiter10
WOct 10 · 16:00M. Bereiter1.731111113E. Rychlik2.003780WOct 10 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.501111113A. Rinka2.505540LOct 8 · 17:30A. Walek2.501111113M. Bereiter1.505880LOct 8 · 16:00M. Bereiter1.831011119102F. Laburda1.83126711123WOct 8 · 15:30A. Walek2.1011771192M. Bereiter1.67611117113WOct 8 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.731111113J. Snr2.009470LSep 12 · 13:00Z. Pagac1.5711811113M. Bereiter2.25811871LSep 12 · 12:00Z. Pagac1.671311133M. Bereiter2.10119110LSep 12 · 11:00D. Unzeitig2.38111287113M. Bereiter1.53610111192LSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.