TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Leon Kolman vs Milos Soukup 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111177111141210
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLeon Kolman above · Milos Soukup below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 90 set 5, 12-10
90 points played in total.
H2H Leon Kolman 3–2 Milos Soukup Milos Soukup has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kolman beat Soukup 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolman 1.833 / Soukup 1.833
Setka Cup · #13265417
Kolman1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Soukup1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKolman3wins
AwaySoukup2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKolman leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolman100%3 of 3
AwaySoukupn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolman3Soukup2n = 5Kolman took 3 of 5
S2Kolman3Soukup2n = 5Kolman took 3 of 5
S3Kolman3Soukup2n = 5Kolman took 3 of 5
S4Kolman2Soukup2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKolmanSoukupK − SBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.237.6+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolmanSoukupBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 696 vs 43 / 8651.9%50%361 / 696 vs 43 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupKolman 1.83/Soukup 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 8 · 15:45L. Kolman50119118113M. Soukup4791191172
WAug 18 · 15:00L. Kolman351111133M. Soukup2476110
LApr 18 · 05:30L. Kolman42711311102M. Soukup49119116123
WFeb 20 · 16:15L. Kolman43111110113M. Soukup28661241
LFeb 4 · 17:18L. Kolman315101151M. Soukup4011126113
L. Kolman10
WOct 8 · 15:45M. Soukup2.1091191172L. Kolman1.67119118113LOct 8 · 14:45P. Provaznik2.3811116113L. Kolman1.53461191LOct 8 · 13:15T. Kanka2.3811125123L. Kolman1.5351011101LOct 4 · 13:00L. Kolman2.508890M. Hajek1.501111113WOct 4 · 12:00M. Hajek1.83711781L. Kolman1.8311311113LOct 4 · 11:00V. Herrmann2.631111113L. Kolman1.448350LOct 4 · 09:30L. Provaznik1.571231111113L. Kolman2.2514115772WOct 3 · 16:44P. Orlowski1.4411113832L. Kolman2.6365111153WOct 3 · 15:15L. Kolman2.001111113D. Brichacek1.737790LOct 3 · 14:15L. Kolman2.1010270P. Orlowski1.671211103
M. Soukup10
LOct 8 · 15:45M. Soukup2.1091191172L. Kolman1.67119118113WOct 8 · 14:15T. Kanka1.73118551M. Soukup2.0091111113LOct 8 · 13:45P. Provaznik1.801211113M. Soukup1.9110870WOct 5 · 16:59M. Soukup1.611111113O. Horak2.209990WOct 5 · 16:00M. Soukup2.1011118113V. Herrmann1.67721171WOct 5 · 14:30F. Kubos2.008111591M. Soukup1.7311917113WOct 5 · 14:00O. Horak2.255101241M. Soukup1.57111210113WSep 19 · 08:14M. Soukup1.3611811113J. Botka3.00711951WSep 19 · 07:15J. Botka2.3887111152M. Soukup1.53111193113WSep 19 · 06:45M. Soukup1.801111113M. Taranko1.916880
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.