TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Filip Kubos vs Milos Soukup 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111191517911––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:17 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMilos Soukup to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Kubos above · Milos Soukup below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 91 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Milos Soukup at 54.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Filip Kubos 0–1 Milos Soukup Filip Kubos has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1754.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Soukup
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kubos 1517 vs Soukup 1559
Soukup
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubos 80% vs Soukup 100%
Soukup
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubos 70% vs Soukup 90%
Soukup
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubos +1 · Soukup +9
Soukup
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Soukup) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soukup form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubos 2.00 / Soukup 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Soukup)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245420
Kubos2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Soukup1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 9
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite56% won 20 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKubos0wins
AwaySoukup1wins
Soukup leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKubosSoukupK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.048.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubosSoukupBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 713 vs 40 / 8149.7%49.4%354 / 713 vs 40 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupKubos 2.00/Soukup 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Soukup won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 5 · 14:30F. Kubos438111591M. Soukup4811917113
F. Kubos10
LOct 5 · 15:30F. Kubos2.38861181O. Horak1.5311118113WOct 5 · 13:30F. Kubos2.5091111113V. Herrmann1.50119951LOct 4 · 21:00F. Kubos1.53125111042K. Jirousek2.381011612113WOct 4 · 20:00K. Jirousek2.501171051F. Kubos1.5041112113WOct 4 · 19:00J. Snr1.8311681152F. Kubos1.83511117113WOct 4 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.25101121192F. Kubos1.57128118113WOct 2 · 20:58F. Kubos2.501111113M. Cizek1.509660WOct 2 · 20:00L. Hendrych1.8012990F. Kubos1.911411113LOct 2 · 19:00M. Cizek1.5711116113F. Kubos2.25851151WOct 2 · 17:30Z. Kuksa1.575980F. Kubos2.251111113
M. Soukup10
WOct 5 · 16:00M. Soukup2.1011118113V. Herrmann1.67721171WOct 5 · 14:00O. Horak2.255101241M. Soukup1.57111210113WSep 19 · 08:14M. Soukup1.3611811113J. Botka3.00711951WSep 19 · 07:15J. Botka2.3887111152M. Soukup1.53111193113WSep 19 · 06:45M. Soukup1.801111113M. Taranko1.916880WSep 19 · 05:45M. Soukup2.10121211113Z. Kuksa1.671410681WSep 15 · 17:04M. Soukup1.671111113L. Tuma2.104960WSep 15 · 16:00M. Soukup1.67111011113T. Stejskal2.10712791WSep 15 · 14:30P. Abraham2.2012460M. Soukup1.611411113WSep 15 · 14:00L. Tuma1.9141141122M. Soukup1.80115119113
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