TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Zdenek Kuksa vs Filip Kubos 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911811––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched: 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 62.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 15–7 Filip Kubos Filip Kubos has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2962.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 0.8pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kuksa
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Kuksa
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1564 vs Kubos 1463
Kuksa
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 60% vs Kubos 0%
Kuksa
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 60% vs Kubos 20%
Kuksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa +1 · Kubos -5
Kubos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Kuksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubos form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 1.571 / Kubos 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kuksa)-0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13229179
Kuksa1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 64 of 85
Kubos2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 01)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 71 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuksa6wins
AwayKubos4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKuksa leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuksa80%4 of 5
AwayKubos60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuksa5Kubos5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuksa3Kubos7n = 10Kubos took 7 of 10
S3Kuksa7Kubos3n = 10Kuksa took 7 of 10
S4Kuksa3Kubos5n = 8Kubos took 5 of 8
S5Kuksa5Kubos2n = 7Kuksa took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuksaKubosKuksa − KubosBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.644.0+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 511 vs 351 / 70751.3%49.7%262 / 511 vs 351 / 707Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKuksa 1.57/Kubos 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 16:29Z. Kuksa494111211113F. Kubos4411914642
WOct 1 · 13:30Z. Kuksa48961111113F. Kubos4311116782
LAug 21 · 08:53Z. Kuksa548101111142F. Kubos53111295163
WAug 21 · 07:45Z. Kuksa52118129123F. Kubos508111011102
WAug 7 · 11:45Z. Kuksa51111397113F. Kubos48611111192
LAug 6 · 17:09Z. Kuksa2513390F. Kubos371511113
LAug 6 · 13:30Z. Kuksa29951231F. Kubos43111110113
WJul 3 · 06:00Z. Kuksa511181110113F. Kubos4381161262
LJun 26 · 05:30Z. Kuksa51111311792F. Kubos52615911113
WJun 6 · 08:19Z. Kuksa361114113F. Kubos2761290
Z. Kuksa10
WOct 1 · 16:29Z. Kuksa1.574111211113F. Kubos2.2511914642LOct 1 · 16:00V. Herrmann2.2011811113Z. Kuksa1.61911281LOct 1 · 15:00O. Horak1.731111811113Z. Kuksa2.0013211382WOct 1 · 13:30F. Kubos2.3811116782Z. Kuksa1.53961111113WSep 28 · 08:18Z. Kuksa2.20581111113P. Orlowski1.6111115582LSep 28 · 07:15P. Orlowski1.916111011113Z. Kuksa1.8011912892WSep 28 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.61111168113R. Merkl2.2095111142WSep 28 · 05:45Z. Kuksa1.6111811113T. Kanka2.20611761LSep 26 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.50611111152T. Kanka2.50115135113WSep 26 · 07:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113R. Merkl2.008890
F. Kubos10
LOct 1 · 16:29Z. Kuksa1.574111211113F. Kubos2.2511914642LOct 1 · 15:30F. Kubos2.008911111O. Horak1.7311117133LOct 1 · 14:30F. Kubos2.25116261V. Herrmann1.5781111113LOct 1 · 13:30F. Kubos2.3811116782Z. Kuksa1.53961111113LSep 28 · 20:43F. Kubos1.57116111172T. Bertho2.25411134113WSep 28 · 19:45T. Bertho2.107890F. Kubos1.671111113LSep 28 · 18:45S. Kalensky1.919111111113F. Kubos1.8011813882LSep 28 · 17:15J. Snr1.91511511123F. Kubos1.80115116102LSep 27 · 21:04R. Merkl1.5711119113F. Kubos2.25651151WSep 27 · 19:30F. Kubos2.2512611123A. Pavlik1.5710118101
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