TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Leon Kolman vs Miroslav Hajek 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingLeon Kolman above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-7
Point 48 set 3, 3-7
48 points drawn · the score is 10 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Leon Kolman 14–14 Miroslav Hajek Dead even across their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kolman beat Hajek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolman 2.50 / Hajek 1.50
Setka Cup · #13243581
Kolman2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 67 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Hajek1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 73 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 58 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolman6wins
AwayHajek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolman leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolman62.5%5 of 8
AwayHajekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolman8Hajek2n = 10Kolman took 8 of 10
S2Kolman5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolman5Hajek4n = 9Kolman took 5 of 9
S4Kolman3Hajek5n = 8Hajek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolmanHajekK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.70.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolmanHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 708 vs 355 / 67952.3%52.3%370 / 708 vs 355 / 679Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HajekKolman 2.50/Hajek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 4 · 12:00L. Kolman3611311113M. Hajek33711781
LOct 2 · 17:15L. Kolman33118951M. Hajek4181111113
LSep 27 · 06:00L. Kolman33118771M. Hajek4291111113
LSep 20 · 17:00L. Kolman4311913192M. Hajek517111111113
WSep 20 · 16:00L. Kolman351111133M. Hajek2696110
LSep 18 · 16:51L. Kolman34611891M. Hajek3811511113
WSep 18 · 15:45L. Kolman485111110113M. Hajek4211751272
WSep 10 · 11:45L. Kolman4416611113M. Hajek411411881
WSep 6 · 20:53L. Kolman4211119113M. Hajek34881171
L. Kolman10
WOct 4 · 12:00M. Hajek1.83711781L. Kolman1.8311311113LOct 4 · 11:00V. Herrmann2.631111113L. Kolman1.448350LOct 4 · 09:30L. Provaznik1.571231111113L. Kolman2.2514115772WOct 3 · 16:44P. Orlowski1.4411113832L. Kolman2.6365111153WOct 3 · 15:15L. Kolman2.001111113D. Brichacek1.737790LOct 3 · 14:15L. Kolman2.1010270P. Orlowski1.671211103WOct 3 · 13:15L. Kolman1.831111109113J. Juppa1.8387121142WOct 2 · 19:15L. Kolman1.80911119113J. Juppa1.9111451182LOct 2 · 18:15L. Kolman1.834101161D. Brichacek1.8311129113LOct 2 · 17:15L. Kolman1.83118951M. Hajek1.8381111113
M. Hajek10
LOct 4 · 12:00M. Hajek1.83711781L. Kolman1.8311311113LOct 4 · 10:30L. Provaznik2.201111116113M. Hajek1.6113781172LOct 4 · 10:00V. Herrmann2.6311114113M. Hajek1.44971161LOct 2 · 20:43M. Hajek3.006760D. Brichacek1.361111113LOct 2 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.4011811113M. Hajek2.75411471LOct 2 · 18:45J. Juppa3.501381211113M. Hajek1.28111114992WOct 2 · 17:15L. Kolman1.83118951M. Hajek1.8381111113LOct 2 · 12:49M. Svitac2.25111211113M. Hajek1.57614651WOct 2 · 11:45M. Hajek1.611111133M. Svitac2.2089110WOct 2 · 10:15V. Lopata2.38741161M. Hajek1.5311119113
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