TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Matej Svitac vs Miroslav Hajek 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161214116115––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingMatej Svitac above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 76 set 4, 11-5
76 points played in total.
H2H Matej Svitac 18–30 Miroslav Hajek Matej Svitac has won 18 of their 48 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hajek beat Svitac 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvitac 2.25 / Hajek 1.571
Setka Cup · #13233033
Svitac2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 27 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back32% 9 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Hajek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 71 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvitac4wins
AwayHajek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvitac75%3 of 4
AwayHajek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svitac4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Svitac4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S3Svitac3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S4Svitac5Hajek3n = 8Svitac took 5 of 8
S5Svitac2Hajek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvitacHajekS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.540.7−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvitacHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 398 vs 358 / 67854.8%52.8%218 / 398 vs 358 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HajekSvitac 2.25/Hajek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 11:45M. Svitac2889110M. Hajek351111133
WSep 21 · 11:00M. Svitac521311611113M. Hajek44111311632
LSep 14 · 10:45M. Svitac325121141M. Hajek4511149113
WSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac50811911113M. Hajek4211911832
LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac4081112452M. Hajek521191011113
LSep 4 · 09:45M. Svitac4165111182M. Hajek49111179113
LMay 17 · 09:45M. Svitac411191291M. Hajek4591114113
WMay 14 · 12:43M. Svitac3911114133M. Hajek334711111
WMay 14 · 09:45M. Svitac3911116113M. Hajek29781131
LMay 1 · 12:44M. Svitac235990M. Hajek331111113
M. Svitac10
LOct 2 · 11:45M. Hajek1.611111133M. Svitac2.2089110WOct 2 · 10:45L. Smazik1.9111811462M. Svitac1.80811611113WOct 2 · 09:15V. Lopata2.20541181M. Svitac1.6111119113LOct 1 · 12:14R. Merkl2.10141313123M. Svitac1.67161111101LOct 1 · 11:15J. Simek2.201211113M. Svitac1.6110380LOct 1 · 10:45M. Svitac1.67781251L. Kolman2.10111110113LOct 1 · 09:45M. Svitac1.53311111172R. Merkl2.38117313113WSep 25 · 13:08M. Svitac1.5711118113R. Merkl2.25851141WSep 25 · 12:00R. Merkl2.251151011102M. Svitac1.57711124123WSep 25 · 11:00L. Smazik1.83591171M. Svitac1.8311119113
M. Hajek10
WOct 2 · 11:45M. Hajek1.611111133M. Svitac2.2089110WOct 2 · 10:15V. Lopata2.38741161M. Hajek1.5311119113WOct 2 · 09:45L. Smazik2.009101151M. Hajek1.7311129113WOct 1 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311611472M. Hajek1.83611611113LOct 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.5010690J. Jnr2.501211113LOct 1 · 18:15L. Stoces2.201112123M. Hajek1.61310100WOct 1 · 17:45A. Pavlik2.5010111051M. Hajek1.5012812113LSep 29 · 20:43M. Hajek2.505570D. Brichacek1.501111113LSep 29 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.671111113M. Hajek2.108210LSep 29 · 18:45D. Marasek1.73121111113M. Hajek2.001071311
Upcoming Matches
M. Svitac
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M. Hajek
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