TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dominik Marasek vs Miroslav Hajek 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101171113111––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:10 and never touched: 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Marasek to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Dominik Marasek @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingDominik Marasek above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 76 set 4, 11-1 · our read held Dominik Marasek at 57.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Marasek 14–8 Miroslav Hajek Miroslav Hajek has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 06:10What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Marasek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Marasek
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marasek 1748 vs Hajek 1637
Marasek
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marasek 100% vs Hajek 60%
Marasek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marasek 80% vs Hajek 60%
Marasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marasek +5 · Hajek -1
Marasek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Marasek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marasek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarasek 1.73 / Hajek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Marasek)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13213239
Marasek1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 33 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Hajek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarasek7wins
AwayHajek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMarasek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarasek71.4%5 of 7
AwayHajek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marasek7Hajek3n = 10Marasek took 7 of 10
S2Marasek6Hajek4n = 10Marasek took 6 of 10
S3Marasek4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S4Marasek3Hajek4n = 7Hajek took 4 of 7
S5Marasek3Hajek0n = 3Marasek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarasekHajekM − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.8+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarasekHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 238 vs 357 / 67252.1%53.1%124 / 238 vs 357 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MarasekMarasek 1.73/Hajek 2.00
Hit
What we said
57.3%
Marasek · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Dominik Marasek @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–1
Marasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 16:00D. Marasek361411113M. Hajek2512490
WSep 18 · 14:15D. Marasek521111109113M. Hajek4376121172
WSep 15 · 16:49D. Marasek341211113M. Hajek2610790
LSep 15 · 15:45D. Marasek3191570M. Hajek391117113
WAug 12 · 14:15D. Marasek4041111143M. Hajek341138121
WAug 10 · 17:45D. Marasek511261111113M. Hajek4914117892
LAug 7 · 16:30D. Marasek33123991M. Hajek43101111113
WAug 7 · 15:00D. Marasek49131114113M. Hajek441191681
LMay 7 · 16:14D. Marasek29117651M. Hajek4291111113
WMay 7 · 13:45D. Marasek48111169113M. Hajek4368111172
D. Marasek10
LSep 29 · 19:15M. Vana1.4491211113D. Marasek2.631110471WSep 29 · 17:45D. Marasek1.501111113D. Brichacek2.504690WSep 23 · 16:58D. Marasek2.201211113P. Semrad1.6110750WSep 23 · 16:00D. Marasek1.731411113M. Hajek2.0012490WSep 23 · 14:30P. Semrad1.57711125112D. Marasek2.251171011133WSep 23 · 14:00L. Provaznik2.251414100D. Marasek1.571616123LSep 18 · 16:20P. Semrad1.67711611113D. Marasek2.1011511832LSep 18 · 15:15D. Marasek2.25731171P. Semrad1.5711118113WSep 18 · 14:15D. Marasek1.731111109113M. Hajek2.0076121172WSep 18 · 13:15D. Marasek1.4013118113L. Kolman2.751181161
M. Hajek10
LSep 29 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.671111113M. Hajek2.108210LSep 29 · 17:15M. Vana1.671115133M. Hajek2.10913110WSep 28 · 12:58M. Hajek1.611113133L. Provaznik2.20911110WSep 28 · 12:00M. Hajek1.3311911113J. Juppa3.25911681LSep 28 · 10:30T. Hybl2.2511611113M. Hajek1.57611371WSep 28 · 10:00L. Provaznik2.25811691M. Hajek1.5711911113LSep 27 · 08:59L. Provaznik2.20127118113M. Hajek1.61101171172WSep 27 · 07:30P. Orlowski1.738450M. Hajek2.001111113LSep 23 · 16:00D. Marasek1.731411113M. Hajek2.0012490LSep 18 · 14:15D. Marasek1.731111109113M. Hajek2.0076121172
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