TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Provaznik vs Miroslav Hajek 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119611911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Provaznik above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 60.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Provaznik 15–31 Miroslav Hajek Lukas Provaznik has won 15 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-31 in 46
Hajek
Correct
gap of 16 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Provaznik 1608 vs Hajek 1633
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Provaznik 60% vs Hajek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Provaznik 50% vs Hajek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Provaznik +2 · Hajek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hajek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Provaznik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 2.25 / Hajek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hajek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13207836
Provaznik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 27)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 54 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Hajek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 67 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik4wins
AwayHajek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik66.7%2 of 3
AwayHajek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S2Provaznik5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S3Provaznik8Hajek2n = 10Provaznik took 8 of 10
S4Provaznik0Hajek8n = 8Hajek took 8 of 8
S5Provaznik3Hajek2n = 5Provaznik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikHajekP − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.9−3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 308 vs 354 / 66748.4%53.1%149 / 308 vs 354 / 667Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekProvaznik 2.25/Hajek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 08:59L. Provaznik49127118113M. Hajek46101171172
LSep 27 · 07:00L. Provaznik28641171M. Hajek4011117113
WSep 23 · 15:00L. Provaznik538111211113M. Hajek48119101352
LSep 20 · 14:30L. Provaznik3841111662M. Hajek46119411113
WAug 12 · 16:43L. Provaznik45911113113M. Hajek4311781162
LAug 12 · 15:45L. Provaznik30117751M. Hajek3741111113
WMay 20 · 16:18L. Provaznik341111123M. Hajek2596100
LMay 20 · 13:45L. Provaznik42411111062M. Hajek47116712113
LMay 7 · 08:43L. Provaznik2210930M. Hajek341211113
LMay 7 · 05:45L. Provaznik379711101M. Hajek4311119123
L. Provaznik10
WSep 27 · 08:59L. Provaznik2.20127118113M. Hajek1.61101171172WSep 27 · 08:00L. Kolman1.9187100L. Provaznik1.801111123LSep 27 · 07:00M. Hajek1.5711117113L. Provaznik2.25641171WSep 27 · 05:30P. Orlowski1.53491191L. Provaznik2.3811113113LSep 23 · 15:30P. Semrad1.7331111113L. Provaznik2.00119581WSep 23 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.258111211113M. Hajek1.57119101352LSep 23 · 14:00L. Provaznik2.251414100D. Marasek1.571616123LSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661WSep 20 · 15:30L. Provaznik1.9131115113P. Hala1.801141361LSep 20 · 14:30L. Provaznik2.3841111662M. Hajek1.53119411113
M. Hajek10
LSep 28 · 10:30T. Hybl2.2511611113M. Hajek1.57611371LSep 27 · 08:59L. Provaznik2.20127118113M. Hajek1.61101171172WSep 27 · 07:30P. Orlowski1.738450M. Hajek2.001111113WSep 27 · 07:00M. Hajek1.5711117113L. Provaznik2.25641171WSep 27 · 06:00M. Hajek1.9191111113L. Kolman1.80118771LSep 23 · 16:00D. Marasek1.731411113M. Hajek2.0012490LSep 23 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.258111211113M. Hajek1.57119101352LSep 23 · 13:30P. Semrad1.6781112113M. Hajek2.101141071WSep 21 · 12:28M. Hajek1.50891111113Z. Kuksa2.5011117762WSep 20 · 14:30L. Provaznik2.3841111662M. Hajek1.53119411113
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