TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Orlowski vs Lukas Provaznik 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411911113911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timePetr Orlowski to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Lukas Provaznik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr Orlowski at 63.6%
69 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 1–0 Lukas Provaznik Lukas Provaznik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Orlowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Orlowski 1717 vs Provaznik 1577
Orlowski
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orlowski 80% vs Provaznik 40%
Orlowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orlowski 80% vs Provaznik 50%
Orlowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orlowski +3 · Provaznik -1
Orlowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.53 / Provaznik 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Orlowski)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13201858
Orlowski1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 23)
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 59 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Provaznik2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 52 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOrlowski1wins
AwayProvaznik0wins
Orlowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOrlowskiProvaznikO − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.027.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 360 vs 149 / 30854.2%48.4%195 / 360 vs 149 / 308Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.740.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 1.53/Provaznik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Provaznik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJan 12 · 20:15P. Orlowski351211123L. Provaznik27107100
P. Orlowski10
WSep 27 · 06:30P. Orlowski1.7311911113L. Kolman2.00811661WSep 23 · 20:33J. Jnr1.739111111102P. Orlowski2.00119139123WSep 23 · 19:15P. Orlowski1.8011118113J. Jnr1.91971141WSep 23 · 18:15P. Orlowski2.1011511113D. Brichacek1.67811771LSep 23 · 17:15P. Orlowski1.9113811962P. Hala1.801111711113WSep 20 · 09:03P. Orlowski1.67711912143L. Kolman2.101151110122WSep 20 · 08:00T. Kanka2.2048110P. Orlowski1.611111133WSep 20 · 07:00D. Brichacek1.57211841P. Orlowski2.2511511113WSep 20 · 05:30L. Kolman1.91413691P. Orlowski1.80111111113LSep 19 · 09:09D. Brichacek1.671111113P. Orlowski2.109880
L. Provaznik10
LSep 27 · 07:00M. Hajek1.5711117113L. Provaznik2.25641171LSep 23 · 15:30P. Semrad1.7331111113L. Provaznik2.00119581WSep 23 · 15:00L. Provaznik2.258111211113M. Hajek1.57119101352LSep 23 · 14:00L. Provaznik2.251414100D. Marasek1.571616123LSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661WSep 20 · 15:30L. Provaznik1.9131115113P. Hala1.801141361LSep 20 · 14:30L. Provaznik2.3841111662M. Hajek1.53119411113LSep 20 · 13:30L. Provaznik1.73511711102L. Kolman2.00117119123WSep 16 · 21:08L. Kolman1.8351181382L. Provaznik1.831161111113WSep 16 · 19:30L. Provaznik1.731111143V. Honemann2.0098120
Upcoming Matches
P. Orlowski
Nothing scheduled
L. Provaznik
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