TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Antoni Witkowski vs Jan Zandecki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAntoni Witkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAntoni Witkowski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Antoni Witkowski at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Antoni Witkowski 19–16 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:5254.0%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 7.9pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Witkowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Witkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1844 vs Zandecki 1970
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 0% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 30% vs Zandecki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski -7 · Zandecki +2
Witkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Witkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.615 / Zandecki 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Witkowski)-7.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13264236
Witkowski1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Zandecki2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 75 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski3wins
AwayZandecki7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZandecki77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski1Zandecki9n = 10Zandecki took 9 of 10
S2Witkowski4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Witkowski6Zandecki4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10
S4Witkowski5Zandecki3n = 8Witkowski took 5 of 8
S5Witkowski1Zandecki3n = 4Zandecki took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiZandeckiW − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.340.2−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 392 vs 473 / 83857.7%56.4%226 / 392 vs 473 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiWitkowski 1.61/Zandecki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 04:55A. Witkowski4284111182J. Zandecki50111198113
LSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski346121151J. Zandecki4511149113
LMay 9 · 15:10A. Witkowski2110470J. Zandecki341211113
LMay 9 · 06:15A. Witkowski541012121192J. Zandecki521210145113
WMay 8 · 11:10A. Witkowski3811511113J. Zandecki31911831
LMay 8 · 05:40A. Witkowski4081111462J. Zandecki48116911113
LMay 7 · 15:35A. Witkowski36891181J. Zandecki3611113113
WMay 7 · 07:40A. Witkowski3851111113J. Zandecki26115281
WFeb 20 · 11:00A. Witkowski518111011113J. Zandecki4511612792
LFeb 20 · 09:10A. Witkowski1911710J. Zandecki351311113
A. Witkowski10
LOct 9 · 11:15A. Witkowski2.2031111872P. David1.61119911113LOct 9 · 10:00A. Witkowski1.671712741D. Michna2.10151411113LOct 9 · 08:05A. Witkowski1.505370D. Michna2.501111113LOct 9 · 06:30D. Wederlich2.00118511113A. Witkowski1.7331111952LOct 9 · 05:40P. David1.531111113A. Witkowski2.388880LOct 9 · 04:55A. Witkowski1.5784111182J. Zandecki2.25111198113LOct 9 · 03:45A. Witkowski2.108930M. Jadczyk1.671111113WSep 13 · 07:45A. Witkowski1.5711511113S. Dosz2.25911961WSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.9181111113A. Dosz1.80117391WSep 13 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.83111011113K. Petas1.83812781
J. Zandecki10
WOct 9 · 12:05J. Zandecki1.67114411113D. Wederlich2.1081111282WOct 9 · 10:50J. Zandecki2.00411169113M. Jadczyk1.73118141182LOct 9 · 08:30P. David1.7311118113J. Zandecki2.00671181LOct 9 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.7312591152D. Michna2.001011116113WOct 9 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7561180J. Zandecki1.851113113WOct 9 · 04:55A. Witkowski1.5784111182J. Zandecki2.25111198113LOct 9 · 03:25D. Wederlich2.10111310113J. Zandecki1.678111261LOct 8 · 14:35J. Zandecki2.10116541P. David1.6771111113LOct 8 · 12:55J. Zandecki3.75741131J. Folwarski1.2511116113LOct 8 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.8071191172D. Michna1.91118115113
Upcoming Matches
A. Witkowski
Oct 9 · 14:10A. Witkowski1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Oct 9 · 15:45A. Witkowski1.83D. Wederlich1.83—Oct 10 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.61T. Spanik2.20—Oct 10 · 04:10A. Witkowski1.91K. Petas1.80—Oct 10 · 05:15A. Witkowski1.57S. Kolasa2.25—Oct 10 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.44G. Adamiak2.63—Oct 10 · 07:45A. Witkowski2.00P. Cyrnek1.73—
J. Zandecki
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