TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Petr David vs Jan Zandecki 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117811118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Petr David at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 30–25 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 25 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2454.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
30-25 in 55
David
Correct
gap of 5 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1967 vs Zandecki 1961
David
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 40% vs Zandecki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 50% vs Zandecki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -1 · Zandecki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans David) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- David form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.727 / Zandecki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (David)-3.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13264460
David1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 231 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it95% 115 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it81% 169 of 209
Zandecki2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 75 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid5wins
AwayZandecki5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid75%3 of 4
AwayZandecki66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S2David4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3David5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S4David5Zandecki3n = 8David took 5 of 8
S5David2Zandecki2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidZandeckiD − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.0+0.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 994 vs 471 / 83566.2%56.4%658 / 994 vs 471 / 835Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.73/Zandecki 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 14:35P. David4071111113J. Zandecki26116541
WOct 8 · 06:30P. David501111710113J. Zandecki4679111272
LSep 29 · 13:20P. David2810990J. Zandecki341211113
WSep 29 · 08:05P. David4213711113J. Zandecki391111891
LSep 24 · 09:00P. David331151161J. Zandecki4381113113
WSep 24 · 04:30P. David3811511113J. Zandecki34911681
LSep 17 · 10:00P. David27101070J. Zandecki351212113
LSep 17 · 05:40P. David4799111262J. Zandecki501111710113
WAug 5 · 09:20P. David49811118113J. Zandecki4011741172
LAug 5 · 06:55P. David4471171182J. Zandecki43117113113
P. David10
LOct 9 · 06:55P. David1.7311119772M. Jadczyk2.00791111113WOct 9 · 05:40P. David1.531111113A. Witkowski2.388880LOct 9 · 04:10P. David1.61101111792D. Wederlich2.20129511113LOct 9 · 03:00P. David1.50123991D. Michna2.50101111113WOct 8 · 14:35J. Zandecki2.10116541P. David1.6771111113WOct 8 · 13:20P. David1.611113113D. Wederlich2.2081190WOct 8 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.44111031192P. David2.63712114113LOct 8 · 10:50D. Michna2.20131112113P. David1.611571051LOct 8 · 09:20A. Grela2.50131252P. David1.50111071LOct 8 · 07:45P. David1.7371111752M. Jadczyk2.00117911113
J. Zandecki10
LOct 9 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.7312591152D. Michna2.001011116113WOct 9 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7561180J. Zandecki1.851113113WOct 9 · 04:55A. Witkowski1.5784111182J. Zandecki2.25111198113LOct 9 · 03:25D. Wederlich2.10111310113J. Zandecki1.678111261LOct 8 · 14:35J. Zandecki2.10116541P. David1.6771111113LOct 8 · 12:55J. Zandecki3.75741131J. Folwarski1.2511116113LOct 8 · 11:40J. Zandecki1.8071191172D. Michna1.91118115113WOct 8 · 10:00J. Zandecki2.00111155113A. Grela1.7364111152WOct 8 · 09:00J. Zandecki1.67111188133D. Wederlich2.10781111112LOct 8 · 08:05J. Zandecki1.735860D. Wederlich2.001111113
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