TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliwier Sokolowski vs Kacper Slawinski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711311––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched: 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 66.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 1–4 Kacper Slawinski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2166.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
clears by 0.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1343 vs Slawinski 1504
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 60% vs Slawinski 80%
Slawinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 50% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +3 · Slawinski +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 2.50 / Slawinski 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slawinski)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13259138
Sokolowski2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 135 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 126
Slawinski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 163 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it99% 79 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it81% 121 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSokolowski1wins
AwaySlawinski4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSlawinski leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski0Slawinski5n = 5Slawinski took 5 of 5
S2Sokolowski3Slawinski2n = 5Sokolowski took 3 of 5
S3Sokolowski1Slawinski4n = 5Slawinski took 4 of 5
S4Sokolowski2Slawinski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSokolowskiSlawinskiSokolowski − SlawinskiBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match34.242.6−8.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 649 vs 625 / 100343.5%62.3%282 / 649 vs 625 / 1003Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSokolowski 2.50/Slawinski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LOct 8 · 05:15O. Sokolowski25412721K. Slawinski43111011113
LSep 17 · 13:30O. Sokolowski193880K. Slawinski331111113
WSep 17 · 07:30O. Sokolowski41611211113K. Slawinski4211511782
LAug 11 · 17:05O. Sokolowski398141071K. Slawinski46111212113
LAug 11 · 08:45O. Sokolowski4797111192K. Slawinski49111179113
O. Sokolowski10
WOct 8 · 10:10W. Urban1.67761191O. Sokolowski2.1011114113WOct 8 · 09:25O. Sokolowski2.101012118113S. Szostok1.67121091172WOct 8 · 07:45O. Sokolowski2.00111167113W. Urban1.7397111162LOct 8 · 06:30O. Sokolowski2.63118111392J. Pruszkowski1.44911915113LOct 8 · 05:15O. Sokolowski2.50412721K. Slawinski1.50111011113WOct 8 · 04:10J. Pelka1.73111111592O. Sokolowski2.00139711113LOct 8 · 03:25O. Sokolowski2.1081151282S. Szostok1.671141110113LOct 7 · 17:05W. Urban1.531111113O. Sokolowski2.355770LOct 7 · 15:55O. Sokolowski1.7791190O. Sokolowski1.951113113WOct 7 · 14:45R. Gajda1.8011115992O. Sokolowski1.90941111113
K. Slawinski10
WOct 8 · 10:35J. Pelka2.50139121132K. Slawinski1.501111149113WOct 8 · 09:00W. Urban2.751171171K. Slawinski1.4081113113WOct 8 · 08:10J. Pruszkowski2.2071110101K. Slawinski1.6111812123LOct 8 · 07:20S. Szostok2.201215113K. Slawinski1.61101380WOct 8 · 05:15O. Sokolowski2.50412721K. Slawinski1.50111011113LOct 8 · 04:30W. Urban2.7571311113K. Slawinski1.401111961WOct 8 · 03:00J. Pelka2.756860K. Slawinski1.401111113LOct 7 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.57611681P. Przewlocki2.2511911113WOct 7 · 12:40K. Slawinski1.61111211113L. Oracz2.20914761LOct 7 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.67951191J. Pruszkowski2.1011113113
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