TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliwier Sokolowski vs Jakub Pruszkowski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198111191315911
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched: 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Jakub Pruszkowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 107 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 66.9%
107 points played in total.
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 1–10 Jakub Pruszkowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2866.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.4pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1298 vs Pruszkowski 1373
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 20% vs Pruszkowski 40%
Pruszkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 30% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Pruszkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -1 · Pruszkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 2.625 / Pruszkowski 1.444
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Pruszkowski)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13258778
Sokolowski2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 135 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 126
Pruszkowski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 444 of 684
Up 2–0, closes it95% 223 of 235
Up 1–0, closes it82% 340 of 417
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokolowski1wins
AwayPruszkowski9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayPruszkowski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Sokolowski2Pruszkowski8n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S3Sokolowski6Pruszkowski4n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S4Sokolowski2Pruszkowski5n = 7Pruszkowski took 5 of 7
S5Sokolowski0Pruszkowski3n = 3Pruszkowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokolowskiPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.841.7−4.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 646 vs 1166 / 184843.2%63.1%279 / 646 vs 1166 / 1848Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiSokolowski 2.63/Pruszkowski 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 06:30O. Sokolowski52118111392J. Pruszkowski55911915113
LSep 29 · 00:50O. Sokolowski29391161J. Pruszkowski4011117113
LSep 28 · 17:30O. Sokolowski381181181J. Pruszkowski4271113113
LAug 25 · 22:35O. Sokolowski33811771J. Pruszkowski4211911113
LAug 25 · 15:00O. Sokolowski501110111172J. Pruszkowski51131287113
LAug 23 · 19:35O. Sokolowski2361070J. Pruszkowski341112113
WJul 27 · 07:45O. Sokolowski341111123J. Pruszkowski2358100
LJun 24 · 12:15O. Sokolowski4988171152J. Pruszkowski551111157113
LJun 24 · 08:35O. Sokolowski399911101J. Pruszkowski4211118123
LJan 28 · 13:45O. Sokolowski219660J. Pruszkowski331111113
O. Sokolowski10
LOct 8 · 05:15O. Sokolowski2.50412721K. Slawinski1.50111011113WOct 8 · 04:10J. Pelka1.73111111592O. Sokolowski2.00139711113LOct 8 · 03:25O. Sokolowski2.1081151282S. Szostok1.671141110113LOct 7 · 17:05W. Urban1.531111113O. Sokolowski2.355770LOct 7 · 15:55O. Sokolowski1.7791190O. Sokolowski1.951113113WOct 7 · 14:45R. Gajda1.8011115992O. Sokolowski1.90941111113LOct 7 · 13:30R. Niemiec1.52761111113O. Sokolowski2.3511117942LOct 7 · 11:55K. Adamus1.501161111113O. Sokolowski2.4091161392WOct 7 · 11:05R. Gajda1.80971181O. Sokolowski1.9011116113LOct 7 · 09:55O. Sokolowski1.7281111782O. Sokolowski2.00117611113
J. Pruszkowski10
WOct 8 · 05:40J. Pelka2.25111294102J. Pruszkowski1.577101111123LOct 8 · 04:55J. Pruszkowski1.67491191S. Szostok2.1011118113LOct 8 · 03:50J. Pruszkowski1.737650W. Urban2.001111113LOct 7 · 14:20L. Oracz2.101111113J. Pruszkowski1.679890WOct 7 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk4.0011781152J. Pruszkowski1.22911116113WOct 7 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.67951191J. Pruszkowski2.1011113113LOct 7 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.0010101111113J. Pruszkowski1.3612127582WOct 7 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.6311114101J. Pruszkowski1.4413911123WOct 7 · 08:10L. Oracz2.20127471J. Pruszkowski1.61101111113WOct 7 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk4.331191161J. Pruszkowski1.2071113113
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