TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Pruszkowski vs Wojciech Urban 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611511––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:45 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 75–31 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 31 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:4554.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
75-31 in 106
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 44 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1375 vs Urban 1434
Urban
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Urban 80%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski -1 · Urban +3
Urban
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.727 / Urban 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pruszkowski)-3.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13258952
Pruszkowski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 440 of 679
Up 2–0, closes it95% 223 of 234
Up 1–0, closes it82% 339 of 415
Urban2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 209 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back18% 52 of 283
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski6wins
AwayUrban4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski75%3 of 4
AwayUrban50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S2Pruszkowski5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S3Pruszkowski6Urban4n = 10Pruszkowski took 6 of 10
S4Pruszkowski4Urban2n = 6Pruszkowski took 4 of 6
S5Pruszkowski2Urban1n = 3Pruszkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiUrbanP − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.7−1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime1164 / 1844 vs 832 / 174863.1%47.6%1164 / 1844 vs 832 / 1748Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.73/Urban 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 19:30J. Pruszkowski411911113W. Urban3517990
LSep 1 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski49116141262W. Urban557111610113
LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pruszkowski2110650W. Urban341211113
WAug 6 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski48131111133W. Urban431598111
WAug 4 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski49125138113W. Urban501011111172
WAug 3 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski4071111113W. Urban31114881
LAug 3 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski342111381W. Urban46111311113
WAug 2 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski51911614113W. Urban51118111292
LJul 30 · 01:10J. Pruszkowski2151060W. Urban341112113
WJul 6 · 03:05J. Pruszkowski331111113W. Urban186480
J. Pruszkowski10
LOct 7 · 14:20L. Oracz2.101111113J. Pruszkowski1.679890WOct 7 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk4.0011781152J. Pruszkowski1.22911116113WOct 7 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.67951191J. Pruszkowski2.1011113113LOct 7 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.0010101111113J. Pruszkowski1.3612127582WOct 7 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.6311114101J. Pruszkowski1.4413911123WOct 7 · 08:10L. Oracz2.20127471J. Pruszkowski1.61101111113WOct 7 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk4.331191161J. Pruszkowski1.2071113113LOct 7 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.67101111113J. Pruszkowski2.10127991LOct 7 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.501211133J. Pruszkowski1.50105110WOct 7 · 03:00P. Przewlocki2.6361111662J. Pruszkowski1.44115911113
W. Urban10
WOct 8 · 04:30W. Urban2.7571311113K. Slawinski1.401111961WOct 7 · 17:05W. Urban1.531111113O. Sokolowski2.355770WOct 7 · 15:30W. Urban1.661211113R. Gajda2.1010420WOct 7 · 14:20W. Urban2.101011713123R. Niemiec1.661261111102LOct 7 · 12:45W. Urban1.778811101K. Adamus1.9511115123WOct 7 · 11:30W. Urban1.521411113O. Sokolowski2.3712580WOct 7 · 10:20K. Adamus2.3099140W. Urban1.551111163LOct 7 · 09:30R. Gajda1.91614118113W. Urban1.80111291182LOct 7 · 08:45W. Urban1.607711111O. Sokolowski2.2011118133WOct 7 · 07:10W. Urban1.5711116113O. Sokolowski2.25831181
Upcoming Matches
J. Pruszkowski
Oct 8 · 04:55J. Pruszkowski1.67S. Szostok2.10—Oct 8 · 05:40J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Oct 8 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Oct 8 · 08:10J. Pruszkowski2.20K. Slawinski1.61—Oct 8 · 09:50J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Oct 8 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.67S. Szostok2.10—Oct 8 · 11:50J. Pruszkowski2.00W. Urban1.73—Oct 8 · 12:40J. Pruszkowski1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Oct 8 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski2.20K. Slawinski1.61—
W. Urban
Oct 8 · 06:05W. Urban2.20S. Szostok1.61—Oct 8 · 06:55W. Urban1.83J. Pelka1.83—Oct 8 · 07:45W. Urban1.73O. Sokolowski2.00—Oct 8 · 09:00W. Urban2.75K. Slawinski1.40—Oct 8 · 10:10W. Urban1.73O. Sokolowski2.00—Oct 8 · 11:50W. Urban1.73J. Pruszkowski2.00—Oct 8 · 13:05W. Urban1.83J. Pelka1.83—Oct 8 · 14:40W. Urban2.20S. Szostok1.61—
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