TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Slawinski vs Jakub Pruszkowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511113911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:23 and never touched: 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKacper Slawinski above · Jakub Pruszkowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 59.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Slawinski 33–27 Jakub Pruszkowski Jakub Pruszkowski has won 27 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2359.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
33-27 in 60
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1520 vs Pruszkowski 1367
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 80% vs Pruszkowski 60%
Slawinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 80% vs Pruszkowski 50%
Slawinski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski -1 · Pruszkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.666 / Pruszkowski 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Slawinski)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13254220
Slawinski1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 157 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it99% 76 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it81% 116 of 144
Pruszkowski2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog53% won 61 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski7wins
AwayPruszkowski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski66.7%4 of 6
AwayPruszkowski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski6Pruszkowski4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S2Slawinski7Pruszkowski3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Slawinski6Pruszkowski4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S4Slawinski7Pruszkowski2n = 9Slawinski took 7 of 9
S5Slawinski1Pruszkowski3n = 4Pruszkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiPruszkowskiS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.741.1+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime619 / 993 vs 1162 / 184162.3%63.1%619 / 993 vs 1162 / 1841Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.67/Pruszkowski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 05:15K. Slawinski43101111113J. Pruszkowski37127991
WOct 5 · 13:30K. Slawinski47511911113J. Pruszkowski4111511772
WOct 5 · 03:25K. Slawinski4111118113J. Pruszkowski34861191
LSep 22 · 15:30K. Slawinski441121011102J. Pruszkowski51911127123
WSep 22 · 09:30K. Slawinski4314117113J. Pruszkowski381281171
WSep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski4411911133J. Pruszkowski388118111
LSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski43115116102J. Pruszkowski50711911123
WAug 17 · 11:50K. Slawinski4391211113J. Pruszkowski381110891
WAug 17 · 03:50K. Slawinski381111163J. Pruszkowski3189140
LAug 13 · 16:20K. Slawinski4141311492J. Pruszkowski531111911113
K. Slawinski10
LOct 7 · 10:10O. Vincenec2.20141110123K. Slawinski1.6112812101WOct 7 · 09:25K. Slawinski1.301111113P. Slosarczyk3.409990WOct 7 · 07:45K. Slawinski1.5312911113O. Vincenec2.381011851WOct 7 · 06:30K. Slawinski1.57111494113L. Oracz2.25612111152WOct 7 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.67101111113J. Pruszkowski2.10127991WOct 7 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.387611101K. Slawinski1.5311119123WOct 7 · 03:25K. Slawinski1.25119911113P. Slosarczyk3.7551111422LOct 5 · 14:20J. Badura2.20811116113K. Slawinski1.6111951192WOct 5 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.7311511772K. Slawinski2.00511911113WOct 5 · 11:25S. Szostok2.0077111162K. Slawinski1.73111198113
J. Pruszkowski10
LOct 7 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.0010101111113J. Pruszkowski1.3612127582WOct 7 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.6311114101J. Pruszkowski1.4413911123WOct 7 · 08:10L. Oracz2.20127471J. Pruszkowski1.61101111113WOct 7 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk4.331191161J. Pruszkowski1.2071113113LOct 7 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.67101111113J. Pruszkowski2.10127991LOct 7 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.501211133J. Pruszkowski1.50105110WOct 7 · 03:00P. Przewlocki2.6361111662J. Pruszkowski1.44115911113WOct 5 · 14:40O. Vincenec2.502711121J. Pruszkowski1.5011117143LOct 5 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.7311511772K. Slawinski2.00511911113LOct 5 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.75511414113J. Pruszkowski1.40116111292
Upcoming Matches
K. Slawinski
Oct 7 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—Oct 8 · 03:00K. Slawinski1.50J. Pelka2.50—Oct 8 · 04:30K. Slawinski1.40W. Urban2.75—Oct 8 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.57O. Sokolowski2.25—Oct 8 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.61S. Szostok2.20—Oct 8 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.61J. Pruszkowski2.20—Oct 8 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.40W. Urban2.75—Oct 8 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.57O. Sokolowski2.25—Oct 8 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.61J. Pruszkowski2.20—
J. Pruszkowski
Oct 7 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.22P. Slosarczyk4.00—Oct 7 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.67L. Oracz2.10—Oct 8 · 03:50J. Pruszkowski1.73W. Urban2.00—Oct 8 · 04:55J. Pruszkowski1.67S. Szostok2.10—Oct 8 · 05:40J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Oct 8 · 06:30J. Pruszkowski1.44O. Sokolowski2.63—Oct 8 · 08:10J. Pruszkowski2.20K. Slawinski1.61—Oct 8 · 09:50J. Pruszkowski1.57J. Pelka2.25—Oct 8 · 11:00J. Pruszkowski1.67S. Szostok2.10—Oct 8 · 11:50J. Pruszkowski2.00W. Urban1.73—
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