Kacper Slawinski vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 7Finished

Kacper Slawinski

Home

1.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

115911911114112

Pawel Slosarczyk

Away

3.75

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:22 and never touched: 78.2% is still 78.2%

Graded at full time

Kacper Slawinski to win

78.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKacper Slawinski above · Pawel Slosarczyk below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-4

Set 5 · 11-2

Point 84 set 5, 11-2 · our read held Kacper Slawinski at 78.2%

84 points played in total.

H2H Kacper Slawinski 7–4 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 4 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:22

78.2%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25

short by 1.8pp

80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.25 (75%)

Slawinski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-4 in 11

Slawinski

Correct

gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Slawinski 1504 vs Slosarczyk 1262

Slawinski

Correct

both rated, 241 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Slawinski 80% vs Slosarczyk 40%

Slawinski

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Slawinski 80% vs Slosarczyk 40%

Slawinski

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Slawinski -1 · Slosarczyk +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Slawinski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Slosarczyk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSlawinski 1.25 / Slosarczyk 3.75

Signal prob.78% / 22%

Edge (Slawinski)-1.8pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13253443

Slawinski1.25

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 05)

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite68% won 155 of 227

Up 2–0, closes it99% 75 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it80% 114 of 142

Slosarczyk3.75

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog31% won 121 of 396

Down 0–1, comes back12% 28 of 230

Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 145

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSlawinski6wins

AwaySlosarczyk4wins

1 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSlawinski100%5 of 5

AwaySlosarczyk80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Slawinski5Slosarczyk5n = 10split evenly

S2Slawinski7Slosarczyk3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10

S3Slawinski6Slosarczyk4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10

S4Slawinski2Slosarczyk4n = 6Slosarczyk took 4 of 6

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSlawinskiSlosarczykSlawinski − SlosarczykBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.831.6+5.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSlawinskiSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 986 vs 364 / 96462.2%37.8%613 / 986 vs 364 / 964Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Slawinski

Slawinski 1.25/Slosarczyk 3.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

78.2%

Slawinski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Slawinski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 23 · 10:35K. Slawinski379117101P. Slosarczyk3711311123

LSep 23 · 03:00K. Slawinski361091251P. Slosarczyk44121110113

LSep 13 · 13:55K. Slawinski398111191P. Slosarczyk4111136113

WSep 13 · 07:55K. Slawinski4211119113P. Slosarczyk32941181

WSep 3 · 11:30K. Slawinski331111113P. Slosarczyk236890

WSep 3 · 07:55K. Slawinski3811115113P. Slosarczyk31931181

LAug 5 · 09:25K. Slawinski2510690P. Slosarczyk341211113

WAug 5 · 03:25K. Slawinski50811119113P. Slosarczyk4211791142

WJul 1 · 14:20K. Slawinski351113113P. Slosarczyk1631120

WJul 1 · 06:20K. Slawinski331111113P. Slosarczyk163670

K. Slawinski10

WOct 7 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.387611101K. Slawinski1.5311119123 LOct 5 · 14:20J. Badura2.20811116113K. Slawinski1.6111951192 WOct 5 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.7311511772K. Slawinski2.00511911113 WOct 5 · 11:25S. Szostok2.0077111162K. Slawinski1.73111198113 WOct 5 · 10:35P. Przewlocki2.6396131192K. Slawinski1.441111117113 WOct 5 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.75911781K. Slawinski1.4011711113 WOct 5 · 07:45K. Slawinski1.40118117113O. Vincenec2.7581171172 WOct 5 · 06:30K. Slawinski1.67812911113J. Badura2.10111011842 WOct 5 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.83121110113S. Szostok1.831051261 LOct 5 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.63912129113K. Slawinski1.441110101192

P. Slosarczyk10

LOct 7 · 04:55L. Oracz1.301111173P. Slosarczyk3.4068150 WOct 6 · 14:40W. Glanowski1.834570P. Slosarczyk1.831111113 LOct 6 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk1.6781211101W. Buczynski2.1011143123 WOct 6 · 12:15P. Przewlocki1.731011991P. Slosarczyk2.0012411113 LOct 6 · 11:00R. Gajda1.44611511113P. Slosarczyk2.6311711392 LOct 6 · 09:25P. Brozek1.401912113P. Slosarczyk2.75171080 LOct 6 · 08:35P. Przewlocki1.61111387113P. Slosarczyk2.20411111112 LOct 6 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk1.801111871W. Buczynski1.9161311113 WOct 6 · 06:05W. Glanowski1.737790P. Slosarczyk2.001111113 LOct 6 · 04:55R. Gajda1.361181011113P. Slosarczyk3.0081112072

Upcoming Matches

K. Slawinski

Oct 7 · 05:15K. Slawinski1.67J. Pruszkowski2.10—Oct 7 · 06:30K. Slawinski1.57L. Oracz2.25—Oct 7 · 07:45K. Slawinski1.57O. Vincenec2.25—Oct 7 · 09:25K. Slawinski1.33P. Slosarczyk3.25—Oct 7 · 10:10K. Slawinski1.57O. Vincenec2.25—Oct 7 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.67J. Pruszkowski2.10—Oct 7 · 12:40K. Slawinski1.57L. Oracz2.25—Oct 7 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.53P. Przewlocki2.38—

P. Slosarczyk

Oct 7 · 06:05P. Slosarczyk2.25O. Vincenec1.57—Oct 7 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk4.33J. Pruszkowski1.20—Oct 7 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.20P. Przewlocki1.61—Oct 7 · 09:25P. Slosarczyk3.25K. Slawinski1.33—Oct 7 · 11:00P. Slosarczyk3.40L. Oracz1.30—Oct 7 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.20P. Przewlocki1.61—Oct 7 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk4.33J. Pruszkowski1.20—Oct 7 · 14:40P. Slosarczyk2.25O. Vincenec1.57—

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Kacper Slawinski vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Kacper Slawinski vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

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