TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1188111012110117
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:54 and never touched: 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Gajda above · Pawel Slosarczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-0
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Rafal Gajda at 68.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Gajda 5–0 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:5468.8%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 4.6pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Gajda
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1297 vs Slosarczyk 1262
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 60% vs Slosarczyk 40%
Gajda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 40% vs Slosarczyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda +3 · Slosarczyk +1
Gajda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Gajda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.363 / Slosarczyk 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Gajda)-4.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13248945
Gajda1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 152 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it92% 75 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it74% 110 of 148
Slosarczyk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 121 of 396
Down 0–1, comes back12% 28 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeGajda5wins
AwaySlosarczyk0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderGajda leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda100%3 of 3
AwaySlosarczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda3Slosarczyk2n = 5Gajda took 3 of 5
S2Gajda4Slosarczyk1n = 5Gajda took 4 of 5
S3Gajda4Slosarczyk1n = 5Gajda took 4 of 5
S4Gajda3Slosarczyk0n = 3Gajda took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricGajdaSlosarczykG − SBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.628.2+12.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 862 vs 361 / 95651.5%37.8%444 / 862 vs 361 / 956Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.36/Slosarczyk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 6 · 04:55R. Gajda511181011113P. Slosarczyk3881112072
WAug 13 · 11:25R. Gajda361411113P. Slosarczyk2712690
WAug 13 · 05:50R. Gajda331111113P. Slosarczyk164480
WJun 9 · 13:55R. Gajda4391112113P. Slosarczyk291131051
WJun 9 · 07:55R. Gajda4071111113P. Slosarczyk31114881
R. Gajda10
WOct 6 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.73471191R. Gajda2.0011117113WOct 6 · 03:50R. Gajda1.73811811113W. Glanowski2.0011711632WSep 30 · 16:20K. Schaniel1.93461151R. Gajda1.7811118113WSep 30 · 15:30M. Rus2.50911914102R. Gajda1.451161112123LSep 30 · 14:45R. Gajda1.80119471W. Buczynski1.9081111113LSep 30 · 13:10R. Gajda2.30812891M. Sikon1.55111011113LSep 30 · 12:20B. Madej2.451111123R. Gajda1.4788100LSep 30 · 11:05R. Gajda1.7711117111W. Buczynski1.9313111133WSep 30 · 09:30R. Gajda1.401111148113M. Rus2.7529161182LSep 30 · 08:20R. Gajda1.5211760B. Madej2.301311113
P. Slosarczyk10
WOct 6 · 06:05W. Glanowski1.737790P. Slosarczyk2.001111113WOct 6 · 03:25P. Brozek1.30811881P. Slosarczyk3.4011511113LOct 2 · 17:05L. Bernacki1.92116511113P. Slosarczyk1.8071111822LOct 2 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk2.451187131J. Pelka1.4581111153WOct 2 · 14:45G. Wichowski1.7341161142P. Slosarczyk2.00115117113LOct 2 · 13:30K. Hetnar1.221111113P. Slosarczyk3.708360LOct 2 · 11:55P. Wiciok—711811113P. Slosarczyk—11911972LOct 2 · 11:05G. Wichowski1.351111163P. Slosarczyk2.9047140LOct 2 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk2.3511970J. Pelka1.501311113WOct 2 · 08:45L. Bernacki1.851011741P. Slosarczyk1.8012811113
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
P. Slosarczyk
Oct 6 · 07:20P. Slosarczyk1.80W. Buczynski1.91—Oct 6 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.20P. Przewlocki1.61—Oct 6 · 09:25P. Slosarczyk3.00P. Brozek1.36—Oct 6 · 11:00P. Slosarczyk2.63R. Gajda1.44—Oct 6 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk2.25P. Przewlocki1.57—Oct 6 · 13:30P. Slosarczyk1.80W. Buczynski1.91—Oct 6 · 14:40P. Slosarczyk2.00W. Glanowski1.73—
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