TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Witold Buczynski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911411711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
118911411711––
H2H Rafal Gajda 10–11 Witold Buczynski Rafal Gajda has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Buczynski beat Gajda 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.80 / Buczynski 1.90
TT Elite Series · #13222809
Gajda1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 155 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it91% 74 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it75% 111 of 148
Buczynski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 192 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 301
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda3wins
AwayBuczynski7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBuczynski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda66.7%2 of 3
AwayBuczynski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda3Buczynski7n = 10Buczynski took 7 of 10
S2Gajda5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Gajda4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S4Gajda1Buczynski7n = 8Buczynski took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaBuczynskiG − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.138.1−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 857 vs 456 / 114951.3%39.7%440 / 857 vs 456 / 1149Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.80/Buczynski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 11:05R. Gajda4011117111W. Buczynski3813111133
LSep 2 · 14:45R. Gajda34611981W. Buczynski3611311113
LSep 2 · 11:05R. Gajda32118941W. Buczynski4181111113
LAug 4 · 11:50R. Gajda26361251W. Buczynski43111110113
LAug 4 · 03:50R. Gajda204970W. Buczynski331111113
WJul 23 · 12:15R. Gajda521181110123W. Buczynski47811612102
WJul 23 · 08:35R. Gajda351111133W. Buczynski2155110
WJun 10 · 12:45R. Gajda48961111113W. Buczynski4111117482
LJun 10 · 10:20R. Gajda341011761W. Buczynski4112711113
LJun 9 · 12:45R. Gajda401411781W. Buczynski4016211113
R. Gajda10
LSep 30 · 13:10R. Gajda2.30812891M. Sikon1.55111011113LSep 30 · 12:20B. Madej2.451111123R. Gajda1.4788100LSep 30 · 11:05R. Gajda1.7711117111W. Buczynski1.9313111133WSep 30 · 09:30R. Gajda1.401111148113M. Rus2.7529161182LSep 30 · 08:20R. Gajda1.5211760B. Madej2.301311113LSep 30 · 06:45R. Gajda1.801211118132K. Schaniel1.91149811153LSep 30 · 05:30R. Gajda2.10116871M. Sikon1.6571111113LSep 29 · 13:55R. Gajda1.1461090I. Szymanski5.001112113WSep 29 · 12:40R. Gajda1.5311116113K. Kowalski2.38681191WSep 29 · 11:25R. Gajda1.57111011143R. Idaczyk2.259128121
W. Buczynski10
LSep 30 · 13:30B. Madej2.1591111113W. Buczynski1.62119781LSep 30 · 11:55K. Schaniel1.651111113W. Buczynski2.056780WSep 30 · 11:05R. Gajda1.7711117111W. Buczynski1.9313111133WSep 30 · 09:55W. Buczynski2.2713911113M. Sikon1.571111871WSep 30 · 08:45M. Rus2.201191011102W. Buczynski1.57711126123LSep 30 · 07:30B. Madej2.4071211113W. Buczynski1.511110781WSep 30 · 05:55K. Schaniel1.841110111192W. Buczynski1.86131285113WSep 28 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek1.917121151W. Buczynski1.8011148113WSep 28 · 13:30W. Buczynski2.63111414113S. Szostok1.445121691LSep 28 · 12:15I. Szymanski1.8391111113W. Buczynski1.83114671
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