TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Rus vs Witold Buczynski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11791110121161012
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched: 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
11791110121161012
H2H Maksymilian Rus 9–5 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:3860.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.57
short by 3.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.57 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Buczynski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Rus
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1166 vs Buczynski 1272
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 40% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 30% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus +1 · Buczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Buczynski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.20 / Buczynski 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Buczynski)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13220910
Rus2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 73 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back15% 25 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Buczynski1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 43 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it61% 33 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus6wins
AwayBuczynski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus50%3 of 6
AwayBuczynski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus6Buczynski4n = 10Rus took 6 of 10
S2Rus5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rus6Buczynski4n = 10Rus took 6 of 10
S4Rus4Buczynski4n = 8split evenly
S5Rus2Buczynski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusBuczynskiR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.3−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 418 vs 453 / 114432.1%39.6%134 / 418 vs 453 / 1144Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiRus 2.20/Buczynski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.3%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 15:30M. Rus217950W. Buczynski331111113
WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus3961111113W. Buczynski36118981
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus331111113W. Buczynski247890
WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus3741111113W. Buczynski31115871
WJun 9 · 14:20M. Rus3712311113W. Buczynski361011871
WJun 9 · 06:20M. Rus43411116113W. Buczynski4311871162
LMay 12 · 16:40M. Rus531111111192W. Buczynski51513913113
LMay 12 · 10:40M. Rus4311117952W. Buczynski47681111113
WApr 14 · 12:20M. Rus48127513113W. Buczynski501011111172
LApr 14 · 08:20M. Rus351111671W. Buczynski4271311113
M. Rus10
WSep 30 · 07:10M. Rus2.5291111123M. Sikon1.401186101LSep 30 · 06:20B. Madej1.80771111113M. Rus1.9011117672LSep 23 · 17:05M. Rus2.801171011102O. Vincenec1.37611127123LSep 23 · 15:30M. Rus2.8089111182R. Gajda1.37111179113WSep 23 · 14:20M. Rus2.10141111123B. Madej1.6512813101LSep 23 · 12:50M. Rus5.005730R. Skotniczny1.121111113LSep 23 · 11:30M. Rus2.759490M. Baron1.401111113LSep 23 · 10:20R. Skotniczny1.191116163M. Rus4.23514140LSep 23 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32111011133M. Rus3.109127111WSep 23 · 08:45M. Rus2.601011712113O. Vincenec1.44128111082
W. Buczynski10
LSep 30 · 07:30B. Madej2.4071211113W. Buczynski1.511110781WSep 30 · 05:55K. Schaniel1.841110111192W. Buczynski1.86131285113WSep 28 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek1.917121151W. Buczynski1.8011148113WSep 28 · 13:30W. Buczynski2.63111414113S. Szostok1.445121691LSep 28 · 12:15I. Szymanski1.8391111113W. Buczynski1.83114671LSep 28 · 11:00W. Jozala1.8313511113W. Buczynski1.831111541LSep 28 · 09:25P. Przewlocki1.73111156123W. Buczynski2.00851111102LSep 28 · 08:35I. Szymanski1.83117811113W. Buczynski1.8341111932LSep 28 · 07:20W. Buczynski2.63881171S. Szostok1.4411113113WSep 28 · 06:05K. Hetnar1.2581050W. Buczynski3.751112113
Upcoming Matches
M. Rus
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